It’s West Ham v Leicester in the Premier League on Monday night and Betfred are getting in on the action! Simply place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on West Ham v Leicester and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet if there are over 2.5 goals in the match. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.65 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Applies to single bets placed on West Ham v Leicester from 17:00 on Sunday 22nd August 2021 until 20:00 (kick-off) on Monday 23rd August 2021.
- Minimum stake of £10.00.
- Minimum odds of 1.50 (1/2).
- £5.00 free bet if there are over 2.5 goals in the match.
Qualifying bet
If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on.
At the time of writing, West Ham are available in the Match Result market at back odds of 2.60 (8/5). The lay odds are currently 2.66.
Either exchange works for this offer
Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.
- Money back as cash up to £20
- 0% commission for 60 days
We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.85…
Place £10.00 on West Ham @ 2.60 = Potential profit of £16.00
Lay £9.85 on West Ham @ 2.66 = Potential liability of £16.35
Outcomes
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
So, no matter the outcome, we’ll lose £0.35 in qualifying for our potential free bet.
Free bet
We’ll receive a £5.00 free bet if there are over 2.5 goals in the match. Free bets will be credited by 12:00 on Tuesday 24th August 2021 and will be valid until 09:00 on Wednesday 25th August 2021.
Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert our free bet into 80% cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £0.35, this gives us a potential profit of £3.65 on this Betfred offer!
Risking a potential loss of £0.35 to make a potential profit of £3.65 gives us effective odds of 11.43. So, given that the odds are just 1.80 (4/5) for there to be over 2.5 goals, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
* West Ham won the match 4-1, resulting in a profit of £3.65 on this Betfred offer. *
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Davesbro
0Can you use the extra lay calculator for this?
Matt
1490I’m not sure which calculator you’re referring to there. Is this a calculator on another site?
Davesbro
0The odds monkey trigger bet calc.
Matt
1490Yes you can use that calculator if you want to lock in a profit no matter the outcome.
Mark
Guest userCould you not lay O2.5 goals on Smarkets with a stake matching your qualifying loss? That way at worst you break even, and at best you secure the £5 free bet?
Matt
1490Yes it’s entirely up to you Mark. You can make it risk-free that way or you can overlay to guarantee an equal profit on any outcome.
If you wanted to overlay, you just need to add you qualifying loss and and potential profit together and divide by the lay odds. So, using the above example and lay odds of 1.90…
£0.35 (qualifying loss) + £3.65 (potential profit) = £4.00
£4.00 ÷ 1.90 (lay odds) = £2.11 (lay stake)
That’s based on 0% commission and gives you a guaranteed profit of £1.75.