William Hill Offer – 4 Means More

There’s a big fortnight of Cup and Play-Off Finals to look forward to and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer! Simply place a bet on selected matches and if 4 or more goals are scored in that game, William Hill will give us a 25% free bet win bonus. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £50.00+ and here’s how…

Qualifying Bets:

This fortnight’s eligible matches are as follows…

Fixture Kick-Off Date
Ajax v Man Utd 19:45 Wednesday 24th May 2017
Celtic v Aberdeen 15:00 Saturday 27th May 2017
Chelsea v Arsenal 17:30 Saturday 27th May 2017
Blackpool v Exeter 15:00 Sunday 28th May 2017
Huddersfield v Reading 15:00 Monday 29th May 2017
Juventus v Real Madrid 19:45 Saturday 3rd June 2017

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

If 4 or more goals are scored in the match, William Hill will give us a 25% win bonus, up to £100.00, paid as a free bet.

This offer applies to winning bets placed on ‘Match Betting’, ‘Both Teams To Score’ and ‘Match Result & Both Teams To Score’ markets. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.20 (1/5) or greater, to be eligible.

Free bets will be credited by midday the following day and will be valid for 4 days.

I wouldn’t advise going for the maximum £100.00 bonus on these as it may arouse suspicion. It’s probably best to play it safe and aim for the £25.00 mark.

For this offer to be profitable, we need to be selective with our qualifying bets and only get involved if we can find some really tight odds. We might find our best chance of finding tight enough odds will be in the build up to kick-off.

At the time of writing, the lay odds are pretty poor, so I’ll use fictional odds for Ajax v Man Utd and I’ll update the bottom of the post with my actual selections after the matches have been played.

Bear in mind that it may be worth placing our qualifying bets on both teams to score as you would expect both teams to have scored if 4 or more goals are scored in the match.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £100.71…

William Hill logo

Place £100.00 on Man Utd @ 1.833 = Potential profit of £83.30

smarkets whiteLay £100.71 on Man Utd @ 1.84 = Potential liability of £84.59

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Man Utd win and less than 4 goals + £83.30 – £84.59 = £1.29 loss
Man Utd win and 4 or more goals + £83.30 – £84.59 + £16.66 (extract 80% from £20.83 bonus) = £15.37 profit
Man Utd don’t win – £100.00 + £98.69 (£100.71 minus 2% commission) = £1.31 loss

So, if Man Utd win and 4 or more goals are scored, we’ll make a nice profit of £15.37. Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.31. Risking £1.31 to make a profit of £15.37, gives us effective odds of 12.73. Given that the odds are around 6.00 for Man Utd to win and over 3.5 goals, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from any free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

This offer is available on all selected matches. It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bets on. I’ll update the following table with my selections after the games have been played…

Fixture Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Qualifying Loss Potential Profit
Ajax v Man Utd Man Utd 2.05 2.06 £1.51 £19.49
Arsenal v Chelsea Chelsea 1.80 1.81 £1.46 £14.55
Juventus v Real Madrid Real Madrid 2.70 2.72 £2.00 £32.00

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.