There’s a big week of European and domestic football to look forward to and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer! Simply place a bet on selected matches this week, and if 4 or more goals are scored in that game, William Hill will give us a 25% free bet win bonus. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £50.00+ and here’s how…
Qualifying Bets:
This week’s eligible matches are as follows…
| Fixture | Kick-Off | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester v Atletico Madrid | 19:45 | Tuesday 18th April 2017 |
| Real Madrid v Bayern Munich | 19:45 | Tuesday 18th April 2017 |
| Barcelona v Juventus | 19:45 | Wednesday 19th April 2017 |
| Monaco v Borussia Dortmund | 19:45 | Wednesday 19th April 2017 |
| Man Utd v Anderlecht | 20:05 | Thursday 20th April 2017 |
| Norwich v Brighton | 19:45 | Friday 21st April 2017 |
| Aberdeen v Hibernian | 12:15 | Saturday 22nd April 2017 |
| Chelsea v Tottenham | 17:15 | Saturday 22nd April 2017 |
| Celtic v Rangers | 12:00 | Sunday 23rd April 2017 |
| Burnley v Man Utd | 14:15 | Sunday 23rd April 2017 |
| Arsenal v Man City | 15:00 | Sunday 23rd April 2017 |
| Liverpool v Crystal Palace | 16:30 | Sunday 23rd April 2017 |
| Real Madrid v Barcelona | 19:45 | Sunday 23rd April 2017 |
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
If 4 or more goals are scored in the match, William Hill will give us a 25% win bonus, up to £100.00, paid as a free bet.
This offer applies to winning bets placed on ‘Match Betting’, ‘Both Teams To Score’ and ‘Match Result & Both Teams To Score’ markets. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.20 (1/5) or greater, to be eligible.
Free bets will be credited by midday the following day and will be valid for 7 days.
I wouldn’t advise going for the maximum £100.00 bonus on these as it may arouse suspicion. It’s probably best to play it safe and aim for the £25.00 mark.
For this offer to be profitable, we need to be selective with our qualifying bets and only get involved if we can find some really tight odds. We might find our best chance of finding tight enough odds will be in the build up to kick-off.
Having looked at the odds available for Real Madrid v Bayern Munich, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on a draw.
Bear in mind that it may be worth placing our qualifying bets on both teams to score as you would expect both teams to have scored if 4 or more goals are scored in the match.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £100.50…
Place £100.00 on a draw @ 4.00 = Potential profit of £300.00
Lay £100.50 on a draw @ 4.00 = Potential liability of £301.50
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Draw and less than 4 goals | + £300.00 – £301.50 = £1.50 loss |
| Draw and 4 or more goals | + £300.00 – £301.50 + £60.00 (extract 80% from £75.00 bonus) = £58.50 profit |
| Not a draw | – £100.00 + £98.49 (£100.50 minus 2% commission) = £1.51 loss |
So, if the match is drawn and 4 or more goals are scored, we’ll make a nice profit of £58.50. Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.51. Risking £1.51 to make a profit of £58.50, gives us effective odds of 39.74. Given that the odds are around 7.50 for the match to be drawn and over 3.5 goals, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from any free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
This offer is available on all selected matches this week. It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bets on. I’ll update the following table with my selections after the games have been played…
| Fixture | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid v Bayern Munich | Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | £1.51 | £58.50 |
| Leicester City v Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 2.00 | 2.00 | £1.02 | £18.99 |
| Monaco v Borussia Dortmund | Monaco | 3.10 | 3.10 | £1.37 | £40.64 |
| Arsenal v Man City | Arsenal | 4.50 | 4.50 | £1.56 | £68.43 |
| Real Madrid v Barcelona | Real Madrid | 2.10 | 2.12 | £2.00 | £20.00 |
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.