William Hill Offer – 4 Means More

There’s a big week of European football and Premier League action to look forward to and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer! Simply place a bet on selected matches this week, and if 4 or more goals are scored in that game, William Hill will give us a 25% free bet win bonus. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ and here’s how…

Qualifying Bets:

This week’s eligible matches are as follows…

Fixture Kick-Off Date
Bayer Leverkusen v Atletico Madrid 19:45 Tuesday 21st January 2017
Man City v Monaco 19:45 Tuesday 21st January 2017
St Etienne v Man Utd 17:00 Wednesday 22nd January 2017
Valencia v Real Madrid 17:45 Wednesday 22nd January 2017
Porto v Juventus 19:45 Wednesday 22nd January 2017
Sevilla v Leicester 19:45 Wednesday 22nd January 2017
APOEL v Athletic Bilbao 18:00 Thursday 23rd February 2017
Ajax v Legia Warsaw 18:00 Thursday 23rd February 2017
Tottenham v Gent 20:05 Thursday 23rd February 2017
Fiorentina v Monchengladbach 20:05 Thursday 23rd February 2017
Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen 19:30 Friday 24th February 2017
Granada v Real Betis 19:45 Friday 24th February 2017
Wolves v Birmingham 19:45 Friday 24th February 2017
Inverness v Rangers 19:45 Friday 24th February 2017
Nice v Montpellier 19:45 Friday 24th February 2017
Leeds v Sheffield Wednesday 12:30 Saturday 25th February 2017
Brighton v Reading 17:30 Saturday 25th February 2017
Watford v West Ham 17:30 Saturday 25th February 2017
Hertha Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt 17:30 Saturday 25th February 2017
Eibar v Malaga 19:45 Saturday 25th February 2017
Juventus v Empoli 19:45 Saturday 25th February 2017
Espanyol v Osasuna 11:00 Sunday 26th February 2017
Palermo v Sampdoria 11:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Norwich v Ipswich 12:00 Sunday 26th February 2017
Tottenham v Stoke 13:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Sassuolo v AC Milan 14:00 Sunday 26th February 2017
St Etienne v Caen 14:00 Sunday 26th February 2017
Ingolstadt v Monchengladbach 14:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Atletico Madrid v Barcelona 15:15 Sunday 26th February 2017
Lyon v Metz 16:00 Sunday 26th February 2017
Man Utd v Southampton 16:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Schalke v Hoffenheim 16:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Athletic Bilbao v Granada 17:30 Sunday 26th February 2017
Villarreal v Real Madrid 19:45 Sunday 26th February 2017
Inter Milan v Roma 19:45 Sunday 26th February 2017
Fiorentina v Torino 19:45 Monday 27th February 2017
Leicester v Liverpool 20:00 Monday 27th February 2017

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

If 4 or more goals are scored in the match, William Hill will give us a 25% win bonus, up to £100.00, paid as a free bet.

This offer applies to winning bets placed on ‘Match Betting’, ‘Both Teams To Score’ and ‘Match Result & Both Teams To Score’ markets. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.20 (1/5) or greater, to be eligible.

Free bets will be credited by midday the following day and will be valid for 7 days.

I wouldn’t advise going for the maximum £100.00 bonus on these as it may arouse suspicion. It’s probably best to play it safe and aim for the £25.00 mark.

For this offer to be profitable, we need to be selective with our qualifying bets and only get involved if we can find some really tight odds. Our best chance of finding tight enough odds will be in the build up to kick-off. I’ll use fictional odds for Man City v Monaco in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with my actual selections after the matches have been played.

Bear in mind that it may be worth placing our qualifying bets on both teams to score as you would expect both teams to have scored if 4 or more goals are scored in the match.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £100.94…

williamhill

Place £100.00 on Man City @ 1.615 = Potential profit of £61.50

smarkets whiteLay £100.94 on Man City @ 1.62 = Potential liability of £62.58

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Man City win and less than 4 goals + £61.50 – £62.58 = £1.08 loss
Man City win and 4 or more goals + £61.50 – £62.58 + £12.30 (extract 80% from £15.37 bonus) = £11.22 profit
Man City don’t win – £100.00 + £98.92 (£100.94 minus 2% commission) = £1.08 loss

So, if Man City win and 4 or more goals are scored, we’ll make a nice profit of £11.22. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £1.08. Risking £1.08 to make a profit of £11.22, gives us effective odds of 11.39. Given that the odds are around 3.50 for Man City to win and 4+ goals in the match, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from any free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

This offer is available on all selected matches this week. It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bets on. I’ll update the following table with my selections after the games have been played…

Fixture Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Qualifying Loss Potential Profit
Man City v Monaco Man City 1.615 1.62 £1.08 £11.22

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.