The World Cup 2018 is fast approaching and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer. Simply bet £10.00 on any team to win the tournament and William Hill will give us a £5.00 free bet every time they win a match in 90 minutes! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £27.19 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:01 on Saturday 26th May 2018 and 16:00 on Thursday 14th June 2018, to be eligible.
It’s entirely up to you which team you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Germany.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Just bear in mind that our exchange funds will be tied up until our team get knocked out. The alternative is to not lay our bet and just let the qualifying bet run. Germany should win enough matches to cover the £10.00 stake and we could win big if they go on to win the tournament.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.35…
Place £10.00 on Germany @ 5.50 = Potential profit of £45.00
Lay £9.35 on Germany @ 5.90 = Potential liability of £45.81
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Germany win | + £45.00 – £45.81 = £0.81 loss |
| Germany don’t win | – £10.00 + £9.16 (£9.35 minus 2% commission) = £0.84 loss |
So, regardless of who wins the tournament, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.84 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same team for the various different bookmaker Outright Winner offers, we would need a huge amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different teams, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one team can win the tournament, so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the team with the largest liability.
Free Bets:
For every match that Germany win in 90 minutes, we’ll receive a £5.00 free bet by 12:00 the following day. Free bets will be valid for 4 days and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
There are 3 group matches and 4 potential knock out matches. If Germany win all 7 matches, we’ll receive £35.00 in free bets. By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £35.00 in free bets, so £28.00. If we take our qualifying loss of £0.81 into account, that gives us a potential profit of £27.19 on this William Hill offer!
* Germany won 1 match before being knocked out in the Group Stage, resulting in a profit of £3.16 on this William Hill offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.