The World Cup 2018 is just around the corner and you don’t want to miss this 10Bet offer. Simply bet £10.00+ on the World Cup Top Goalscorer and 10Bet will give us a free bet every time they score a goal in 90 minutes during the tournament! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £8.86 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:00 on Thursday 31st May 2018 and 23:59 on Wednesday 13th June 2018, to be eligible.
The value of each free bet depends on your selected player. You can find the full list of players on the promotion page.
It’s entirely up to you which player you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Gabriel Jesus.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Just bear in mind that our exchange funds will be tied up until our player’s team gets knocked out. The alternative is to not lay our bet and just let the qualifying bet run. Gabriel Jesus should score enough goals to cover some of the £10.00 stake and we could win big if he goes on to be top goalscorer.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.45…
Place £10.00 on Gabriel Jesus @ 17.00 = Potential profit of £160.00
Lay £9.45 on Gabriel Jesus @ 18.00 = Potential liability of £160.65
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Gabriel Jesus top scores | + £160.00 – £160.65 = £0.65 loss |
| Gabriel Jesus doesn’t top score | – £10.00 + £9.26 (£9.45 minus 2% commission) = £0.74 loss |
So, regardless of who is top goalscorer, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.74 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same player for the various different bookmaker Top Goalscorer offers, we would need a huge amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different players, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one player can be top goalscorer (winnings are reduced if players finish tied), so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the player with the largest liability.
Free Bets:
For every goal that Gabriel Jesus scores, we’ll receive a £2.00 free bet within 24 hours. Free bets will be valid on any World Cup market at odds between 1.80 (4/5) and 8.00 (7/1), for the duration of the tournament. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
There are 3 group matches and 4 potential knock out matches. If Gabriel Jesus scores a total of 6 goals, we’ll receive £12.00 in free bets. By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £12.00 in free bets, so £9.60. If we take our maximum qualifying loss of £0.74 into account, that gives us a potential profit of £8.86 on this 10Bet offer!
* Gabriel Jesus failed to score during the tournament, resulting in a loss of £0.74 on this 10Bet offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.