The World Cup 2018 is fast approaching and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer. Simply bet £10.00 on the World Cup Top Goalscorer and William Hill will give us a £5.00 free bet every time they score a goal during the tournament! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £21.93 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:01 on Saturday 26th May 2018 and 16:00 on Thursday 14th June 2018, to be eligible.
It’s entirely up to you which player you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Lionel Messi.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Just bear in mind that our exchange funds will be tied up until our player’s team gets knocked out. The alternative is to not lay our bet and just let the qualifying bet run. Lionel Messi should score enough goals to cover the £10.00 stake and we could win big if he goes on to be top goalscorer.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £8.37…
Place £10.00 on Lionel Messi @ 10.00 = Potential profit of £90.00
Lay £8.37 on Lionel Messi @ 12.00 = Potential liability of £92.07
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Lionel Messi top scores | + £90.00 – £92.07 = £2.07 loss |
| Lionel Messi doesn’t top score | – £10.00 + £7.95 (£8.37 minus 5% commission) = £2.05 loss |
So, regardless of who is top goalscorer, we’ll lose a maximum of £2.07 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same player for the various different bookmaker Top Goalscorer offers, we would need a huge amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different players, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one player can be top goalscorer (winnings are reduced if players finish tied), so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the player with the largest liability.
Free Bets:
For every goal that Lionel Messi scores, we’ll receive a £5.00 free bet by 12:00 the following day. Free bets will be valid for 4 days and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
There are 3 group matches and 4 potential knock out matches. If Lionel Messi scores a total of 6 goals, we’ll receive £30.00 in free bets. By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £30.00 in free bets, so £24.00. If we take our maximum qualifying loss of £2.07 into account, that gives us a potential profit of £21.93 on this William Hill offer!
* Lionel Messi scored 1 goal and didn’t finish as Top Goalscorer, resulting in a profit of £1.95 on this William Hill offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.