Brazil v Mexico Offer – BetEast

It’s Brazil v Mexico today and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from BetEast! Simply place a bet on selected markets for Brazil v Mexico and if Neymar scores first, BetEast will refund losing bets as a bonus, up to a maximum of £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £18.02 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed between 10:00 on Sunday 1st July 2018 and 15:00 (kick-off) on Monday 2nd July 2018, to be eligible.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 2-1 Brazil in the Correct Score market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £23.49…

BetEast logo

Place £25.00 on 2-1 Brazil @ 9.00 = Potential profit of £200.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £23.49 on 2-1 Brazil @ 9.60 = Potential liability of £202.01

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

2-1 Brazil + £200.00 – £202.01 = £2.01 loss
Not 2-1 Brazil and Neymar scores first – £25.00 + £23.02 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 bonus) = £18.02 profit
Not 2-1 Brazil and Neymar doesn’t score first – £25.00 + £23.02 = £1.98 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £18.02 if Neymar scores first and Brazil don’t win 2-1 and we stand to lose a maximum of £2.01 on any other outcome. Risking £2.01 to make a profit of £18.02 gives us effective odds of 9.97. So, given that Neymar is odds of just 4.10 (31/10) to score first, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our bonus will be credited within 48 hours of our qualifying bet being settled and will be valid for 5 days. Bonus stakes are not included in any returns, so we can treat it exactly the same as a stake not returned free bet.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £25.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Neymar scored first and Brazil won the match 2-0, resulting in a profit of £18.02 on this BetEast offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.