Cheltenham Festival 2018 Offer – Bet365

The Cheltenham Festival 2018 gets underway on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 offer! Simply back a winner at odds of 4/1 or more on any Cheltenham race televised live on ITV Racing and Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet to the same stake (up to £50.00) on the next live ITV race. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a risk-free potential profit of £50.00+ and here’s how…

Qualifying Bets:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

This offer is available on 5 races each day as follows…

Time/Day Race
13:30 Tuesday Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
14:10 Tuesday Arkle Chase
14:50 Tuesday Ultima Handicap Chase
15:30 Tuesday Champion Hurdle
16:10 Tuesday Mares Hurdle
13:30 Wednesday Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle
14:10 Wednesday RSA Chase
14:50 Wednesday Coral Cup
15:30 Wednesday Queen Mother Champion Chase
16:10 Wednesday Cross Country Chase
13:30 Thursday JLT Novices’ Chase
14:10 Thursday Pertemps Handicap Hurdle
14:50 Thursday Ryanair Chase
15:30 Thursday Stayers Hurdle
16:10 Thursday Brown Advisory Plate
13:30 Friday Triumph Hurdle
14:10 Friday County Hurdle
14:50 Friday Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle
15:30 Friday Cheltenham Gold Cup
16:10 Friday Foxhunters Chase

If our selection wins at odds of 4/1 or greater, Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet on the next live ITV race. The risk-free bet will be equal to our qualifying stake, up to a maximum of £50.00.

The back and lay odds will tighten as we get closer to each race starting. In the meantime, I’ll use fictional odds for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle in the following example to illustrate how this offer should be done.

Let’s say we want to select Kalashnikov at back odds of 5.50 and lay odds of 5.70…

We know that if our bet wins, we’ll get a £50.00 risk-free bet on the next race. We would just need to bet £50.00 using our own funds and if it loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash. We can therefore expect to extract around 80% cash from any risk-free bet we are eligible for.

With that in mind, we can simply add 0.80 onto our back odds of 5.50, to get our effective back odds of 6.30. We can then enter these effective back odds into the matched betting calculator to get our overlay stake. By overlaying, we are able to guarantee ourselves a profit on any outcome.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity in the run up to races and the site is really easy to use.

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £55.75…

bet365 logo

Place £50.00 on Kalashnikov @ 5.50 = Potential profit of £225.00

Betfair logo

Lay £55.75 on Kalashnikov @ 5.70 = Potential liability of £262.02

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Kalashnikov wins + £225.00 – £262.02 + £40.00 (extract 80% from £50.00 risk-free bet) = £2.98 profit
Kalashnikov doesn’t win – £50.00 + £52.96 (£55.75 minus 5% commission) = £2.96 profit

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll make a guaranteed profit of £2.96.

We won’t be able to find a profitable match on every race and even when we do, some will be more profitable than others. With 20 eligible races though, we should be looking at a risk-free potential profit of £50.00+ on this Bet365 offer!

It’s worth mentioning that when placing a risk-free bet, if our selection wins, we’ll qualify for another risk-free bet on the next ITV race.

I’ll update the following table throughout the week with some actual selections…

Race Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Profit
14:10 Tuesday Petit Mouchoir 5.50 5.70 £2.96
14:50 Tuesday Coo Star Sivola 6.00 6.40 £0.89
13:30 Wednesday Next Destination 5.00 5.40 £1.49
14:10 Wednesday Black Corton 8.50 8.60 £1.67
16:10 Wednesday The Last Samuri 6.00 5.80 £6.17
13:30 Thursday Shattered Love 6.00 6.40 £0.89
14:10 Thursday Delta Work 9.00 8.80 £3.20
14:50 Thursday Cue Card 6.00 6.40 £0.86
15:30 Thursday Yanworth 7.00 7.40 £0.40
16:10 Thursday The Storyteller 7.50 7.80 £0.86
13:30 Friday Redicean 8.00 8.20 £1.29
15:30 Friday Might Bite 5.00 5.30 £2.47
16:10 Friday Burning Ambition 5.00 5.10 £4.55

* Finding tight back and lay odds proved challenging at times, resulting in an overall profit of £27.67 on this Bet365 offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.