First Race Special (13:50 Newmarket) – Sky Bet

There’s a big day of racing at Newmarket on Friday and it’s time for another Sky Bet First Race Special! If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd in the 13:50 at Newmarket, Sky Bet will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £15.11 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • This offer applies to our first bet on the 13:50 at Newmarket.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 14:00 on Thursday 11th October 2018 and 13:50 (race-off) on Friday 12th October 2018.
  • If fewer than seven runners come under starters orders, Sky Bet may withdraw the offer.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, Sky Bet will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £20.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd or 3rd place finish.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Pocket Dynamo.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £19.50…

Sky Bet logo

Place £20.00 on Pocket Dynamo @ 7.00 = Potential profit of £120.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £19.50 on Pocket Dynamo @ 7.20 = Potential liability of £120.90

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Pocket Dynamo wins + £120.00 – £120.90 = £0.90 loss
Pocket Dynamo finishes 2nd or 3rd – £20.00 + £19.11 + £16.00 (extract 80% from our £20.00 free bet) = £15.11 profit
Pocket Dynamo finishes outside top 3 – £20.00 + £19.11 = £0.89 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £15.11 if Pocket Dynamo finishes 2nd or 3rd and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.90 on any other outcome. Risking £0.90 to make a profit of £15.11 gives us effective odds of 17.79, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours and will be valid for 3 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £20.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* See my Horse Racing Offers page for a full list of money back offers available today! *

* Pocket Dynamo finished outside the top 3, resulting in a loss of £0.89 on this Sky Bet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.