Kempton Winter Festival 2018 Offer – Betway

The 2-day Kempton Winter Festival 2018 gets underway on Wednesday and you don’t want to miss this Betway offer! Simply place a bet on the first race at Kempton each day and if our selection loses, Betway will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed overall profit of £10.00+ and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • The minimum stake for this offer is £2.00.
  • We must place single Race Winner bets.
  • If our first bet loses, Betway will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.

This offer is available on the first race each day at the Kempton Winter Festival 2018 as follows…

Time Date
12:50 Wednesday 26th December 2018
12:50 Thursday 27th December 2018

Qualifying Bets:

Losing stakes are refunded as a free bet, so this is effectively a risk-free bet offer. We’ll need to select horses with long odds in order to maximise our profits. The back and lay odds should tighten up on the day of each race.

Having looked at the odds available for the 12:50 on Wednesday, we could place our qualifying bet on Rouge Vif.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the biggest guaranteed profit.

We can work out our lay stake by using the ‘Risk-Free Bet’ setting on my matched betting calculator. We can enter £8.00 as our ‘Cashback’ figure as this is the amount we can expect to extract (80%) from our £10.00 free bet refund, should our horse lose…

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £7.49…

Betway logo

Place £10.00 on Rouge Vif @ 12.00 = Potential profit of £110.00

Betfair logo

Lay £7.49 on Rouge Vif @ 15.00 = Potential liability of £104.86

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
Rouge Vif wins +£110.00 -£104.86 £5.14 profit
Rouge Vif doesn’t win -£10.00 +£7.11 +£8.00 £5.11 profit

So, regardless of the outcome and with some good odds, we should make a guaranteed profit of around £5.00 on each race. With two eligible races to look forward to, this gives us an overall guaranteed profit of £10.00+ on this Betway offer!

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours of our qualifying bets being settled and will be valid for 7 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

I’ll update the following table with some suggested bets…

Race Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Profit
12:50 Wednesday Rouge Vif 12.00 15.00 £5.11
12:50 Thursday San Seb 6.50 7.00 £5.79

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.