Ladbrokes Offer – 15:35 Ayr (Thursday)

October 12, 2017 / Horse Racing / 4 Comments

Event Start Time (GMT): 12/10/2017 : 15:35

Potential profit
£77.18
My profit £-0.83

There’s a big day of racing at Ayr today and Ladbrokes are getting in on the action! Place a bet of £5.00+ on the 15:35 at Ayr and if our selection wins by 3+ lengths, Ladbrokes will double our winnings as a free bet, up to a maximum of £100.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £77.18 and here’s how…

Ladbrokes Offer - 15:35 Ayr (Thursday)

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed between 08:00 and 15:35 on Thursday 12th October 2017, to be eligible.

To qualify, we must place a £5.00+ bet on the 15:35 at Ayr. If our selection wins the race by 3+ lengths, Ladbrokes will double our winnings in free bets, up to a maximum of £100.00. If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours of our bet being settled and will be valid for 48 hours. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for. Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Candelisa.

In order to work out our back stake, we need to divide £100.00 by 6.50 (back odds minus 1.00). This gives us a back stake of £15.38. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so I’ll be staking £15.00 instead.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity in the run up to races, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…


Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Adjust your lay stake

Min £
Max £

Lay stake required: £

Bookie
Exchange
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
= £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back
bet wins
= £
If lay
bet wins
= £

Total profit:

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins:
If lay (exchange) bet wins:

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins:
If lay (exchange) bet wins:

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £14.46…

Ladbrokes logo

Place £15.00 on Candelisa @ 7.50 = Potential profit of £97.50

smarkets white

Lay £14.46 on Candelisa @ 7.80 = Potential liability of £98.32

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Candelisa wins by less than 3 lengths + £97.50 – £98.32 = £0.82 loss
Candelisa wins by 3+ lengths + £97.50 – £98.32 + £78.00 (extract 80% from our £97.50 free bet) = £77.18 profit
Candelisa doesn't win - £15.00 + £14.17 = £0.83 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £77.18 if Candelisa wins the race by 3+ lengths and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.83 on any other outcome. Risking £0.83 to make a profit of £77.18 gives us effective odds of 93.99, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £97.50 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* See my Horse Racing Offers page for a full list of money back offers available today! *

* Candelisa failed to win the race, with Jay Kay winning by 3 lengths, meaning I made a loss of £0.83 on this Ladbrokes offer. *

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4 Comments

  1. StringyBob

    October 12, 2017
    / Reply

    Jay Kay by 3 lengths! First one I've won for a while.

    • Matt

      Matt

      October 13, 2017
      / Reply

      Nicely done Bob!

  2. Dan

    October 12, 2017
    / Reply

    Damn..checked the page half an hour after the race start. Favourite won by 3 what a shame.

  3. Dan

    October 12, 2017
    / Reply

    2 winners on the 3+ length off in the last 2 days!

    I never would have backed the winners though lol


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