There’s a big day of racing at Leopardstown on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power money back offer! Simply place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 13:00 at Leopardstown and if our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.15 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- We must place our bet between 10:00 on Monday 8th June 2020 and 13:00 (race-off) on Tuesday 9th June 2020.
- Offer applies to the win market and the win part of each way bets only.
- If less than 7 runners take part, this offer will revert to money back if 2nd.
- If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for Ennistymon (6/4) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennistymon wins | +£15.00 | -£15.85 | £0.85 loss | |
| Ennistymon finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th | -£10.00 | +£9.15 | +£8.00 | £7.15 profit |
| Ennistymon finishes outside top 4 | -£10.00 | +£9.15 | £0.85 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.15 if Ennistymon finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose £0.85 on any other outcome. Risking £0.85 to make a profit of £7.15 gives us effective odds of 9.41, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the race ending and will be valid on any horse racing market for 7 days.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Ennistymon was available at back odds of 2.625 and lay odds of 2.68. Ennistymon won the race, resulting in a loss of £0.33 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Noel
Guest userYou have used fictional lay odds of 6/4, but what back odds did you use for this example, just trying to get my head around this.
Matt
1593The example was based on back odds of 2.50 and lay odds of 2.70.
If you’re still unsure of anything Noel, give me a shout.
Noel
Guest userCheers, figured this out eventually.
Have recently started matching again after several years away, so just a bit rusty right now.
Matt
1593Great stuff Noel, good luck!