Money Back Offer (13:15 Kempton) – Sky Bet

There’s a big Boxing Day of racing at Kempton to look forward to and it’s time for another Sky Bet money back offer! If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the 13:15 at Kempton, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £8.79 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • This offer applies to our first bet on the 13:15 at Kempton.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 11:00 on Wednesday 23rd December 2020 and 13:15 (race-off) on Saturday 26th December 2020.
  • If fewer than seven runners come under starters orders, Sky Bet may withdraw the offer.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Alnadam at back odds of 3.75 (11/4) and lay odds of 4.20.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • 2% commission for all new signups
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £8.97…

Sky Bet logo

Place £10.00 on Alnadam @ 3.75 = Potential profit of £27.50

Betfair logo

Lay £8.97 on Alnadam @ 4.20 = Potential liability of £28.70

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeSky BetBetfairCashbackProfit/Loss
Alnadam wins+ £27.50– £28.70£1.20 loss
Alnadam finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th– £10.00+ £8.79+ £10.00£8.79 profit
Alnadam finishes outside top 4– £10.00+ £8.79£1.21 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £8.79 if Alnadam finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose a maximum of £1.21 on any other outcome. Risking £1.21 to make a potential profit of £8.79 gives us effective odds of 8.26, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, cash refunds will be credited within 24 hours of the race finishing.

* Alnadam finished outside the top 4, resulting in a loss of £1.21 on this Sky Bet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.