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Money Back Offer (15:25 Warwick) – Sky Bet

There’s a big day of racing at Warwick on Monday and it’s time for another Sky Bet money back offer! If our horse finishes 2nd in the 15:25 at Warwick, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £9.12 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • This offer applies to our first bet on the 15:25 at Warwick.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 10:00 on Sunday 14th February 2021 and 15:25 (race-off) on Monday 15th February 2021.
  • If fewer than five runners come under starters orders, Sky Bet may withdraw the offer.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd place finish.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Paul’s Saga at back odds of 1.667 (4/6) and lay odds of 1.81.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • Money back as cash up to £20
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)


Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)


Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
If back (bookie) bet wins
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.31…

Sky Bet logo

Place £10.00 on Paul’s Saga @ 1.667 = Potential profit of £6.67

Betfair logo

Lay £9.31 on Paul’s Saga @ 1.81 = Potential liability of £7.54


Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeSky BetBetfairCashbackProfit/Loss
Paul’s Saga wins+ £6.67– £7.54£0.87 loss
Paul’s Saga finishes 2nd– £10.00+ £9.12+ £10.00£9.12 profit
Paul’s Saga finishes outside top 2– £10.00+ £9.12£0.88 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £9.12 if Paul’s Saga finishes 2nd and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.88 on any other outcome. Risking £0.88 to make a potential profit of £9.12 gives us effective odds of 11.36, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, cash refunds will be credited within 24 hours of the race finishing.

* Paul’s Saga finished 2nd, resulting in a profit of £9.12 on this Sky Bet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.