The Breeder’s Cup continues at Keeneland on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power money back offer! Simply place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 18:57 at Keeneland and if our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.23 and here’s how…
- We must place our bet between 16:00 on Friday 6th November 2020 and 18:57 (race-off) on Saturday 7th November 2020.
- Offer applies to the win market and the win part of each way bets only.
- If less than 7 runners take part, this offer will revert to money back if 2nd.
- If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my Qualifying Bets Guide.
It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough. I’ll use back odds of 3.75 (11/4) and lay odds of 4.00 for Rushing Fall in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator.
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
|Rushing Fall wins||+£27.50||-£28.26||£0.76 loss|
|Rushing Fall finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th||-£10.00||+£9.23||+£8.00||£7.23 profit|
|Rushing Fall finishes outside top 4||-£10.00||+£9.23||£0.77 loss|
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.23 if Rushing Fall finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.77 on any other outcome. Risking £0.77 to make a profit of £7.23 gives us effective odds of 10.39, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the race ending and will be valid on any horse racing market for 7 days.
If you’re unsure how to convert your £10.00 free bet into £8.00 cash (80%), please see my Free Bets Guide for a walk-through of how it should be done.
* Rushing Fall was available at back odds of 3.75 and lay odds of 4.30. Rushing Fall finished 2nd, resulting in a profit of £6.58 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.