It’s Day 3 of the St Leger Festival 2018 on Friday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power! Simply place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 14:25 at Doncaster and if Rumble Inthejungle wins, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.30 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- We must place our bet between 10:00 on Wednesday 12th September 2018 and 14:25 (race-off) on Friday 14th September 2018.
- Offer applies to single bets or the win part of each way bets.
- If our horse loses and Rumble Inthejungle wins the race, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay any horse other than Rumble Inthejungle. At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional odds for Legends Of War (9/2) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £0.70 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Legends Of War wins | + £45.00 – £45.70 = £0.70 loss |
| Rumble Inthejungle wins | – £10.00 + £9.30 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £7.30 profit |
| Another horse wins | – £10.00 + £9.30 = £0.70 loss |
So, if Rumble Inthejungle wins, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.30. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £0.70. Risking £0.70 to make a profit of £7.30, gives us effective odds of 11.43. So, given that Rumble Inthejungle is odds of 2.875 (15/8) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the race ending and will be valid on horse racing for 7 days.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Well Done Fox was available at back odds of 15.00 and lay odds of 15.50. Soldier’s Call won the race, resulting in a loss of £0.51 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.