There’s a big day of racing at Warwick on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power! Simply place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 14:25 at Warwick and if Tidal Flow wins, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.90 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- We must place our bet between 10:00 on Friday 11th January 2019 and 14:25 (race-off) on Saturday 12th January 2019.
- Offer applies to single bets or the win part of each way bets.
- If less than 5 runners take part, this offer will not apply.
- If our horse loses and Tidal Flow wins the race, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay any horse other than Tidal Flow. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Stoney Mountain (10/3).
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.10 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoney Mountain wins | +£33.33 | -£34.43 | £1.10 loss | |
| Tidal Flow wins | -£10.00 | +£8.90 | +£8.00 | £6.90 profit |
| Another horse wins | -£10.00 | +£8.90 | £1.10 loss |
So, if Tidal Flow wins, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.90. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £1.10. Risking £1.10 to make a profit of £6.90, gives us effective odds of 7.27. So, given that Tidal Flow is odds of just 2.10 (11/10) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the race ending and will be valid on horse racing for 7 days.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Beakstown won the race, resulting in loss of £1.10 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.