£7.15
Potential Profit
£7.85
Actual Profit

Money Back Special (14:45 Kempton) – Paddy Power


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 03/06/2020 14:45

There’s another big day of racing at Kempton on Wednesday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power! Simply place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 14:45 at Kempton and if our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.15 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must place our bet between 10:00 on Sunday 31st May 2020 and 14:45 (race-off) on Wednesday 3rd June 2020.
  • Offer applies to the win market and the win part of each way bets only.
  • If less than 7 runners take part, this offer will revert to money back if 2nd.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.

At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for Born With Pride (9/4) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.

Paddy Power logo

Aim to lose no more than £0.85 on our qualifying bet

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeExtractedProfit/Loss
Born With Pride wins+£22.50-£23.35£0.85 loss
Born With Pride finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th-£10.00+£9.15+£8.00£7.15 profit
Born With Pride finishes outside top 4-£10.00+£9.15£0.85 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.15 if Born With Pride finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose £0.85 on any other outcome. Risking £0.85 to make a profit of £7.15 gives us effective odds of 9.41, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the race ending and will be valid on any horse racing market for 7 days.

If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Hypothetical was available at back odds of 3.50 and lay odds of 3.50. Hypothetical finished 4th, resulting in a profit of £7.85 on this Paddy Power offer. *

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