It’s Day 3 of the Goodwood Festival 2018 on Thursday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Genting Bet! Simply place a single bet of £10.00+ on the 15:35 at Goodwood and if the SP Favourite wins, Genting Bet will refund our first losing bet as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.07 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bets:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed before 15:35 (race-off) on Thursday 2nd August 2018, to be eligible.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a horse that is unlikely to start the race as favourite. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Billesdon Brook.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.26…
Place £10.00 on Billesdon Brook @ 8.50 = Potential profit of £75.00
Lay £9.26 on Billesdon Brook @ 9.20 = Potential liability of £75.93
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Billesdon Brook wins | + £75.00 – £75.93 = £0.93 loss |
| SP Favourite wins | – £10.00 + £9.07 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £7.07 profit |
| Another horse wins | – £10.00 + £9.07 = £0.93 loss |
So, if the starting price (SP) favourite wins, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.07. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £0.93. Risking £0.93 to make a profit of £7.07, gives us effective odds of 8.60. So, given that Urban Fox (SP Favourite at the time of writing) is odds of just 3.75 (11/4) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours of our qualifying bet being settled and will be valid for 2 days. Free bet stakes are not returned with any winnings.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Wild Illusion (not the SP Fav.) won the race, resulting in a loss of £0.93 on this Genting Bet offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.