Royal Ascot 2019 Offer (Day 1) – Sky Bet

It’s Day 1 of Royal Ascot 2019 on Tuesday and it’s time for another Sky Bet Money Back Special! If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the 14:30 at Royal Ascot, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £18.43 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • This offer applies to our first bet on the 14:30 at Royal Ascot.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 11:00 on Sunday 16th June 2019 and 14:30 (race-off) on Tuesday 18th June 2019.
  • If fewer than fourteen runners come under starters orders, Sky Bet may withdraw the offer.
  • If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to £20.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.

At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for Barney Roy in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.81…

Sky Bet logo

Place £20.00 on Barney Roy @ 6.00 = Potential profit of £100.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £18.81 on Barney Roy @ 6.40 = Potential liability of £101.57

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Cashback Profit/Loss
Barney Roy wins +£100.00 -£101.57 £1.57 loss
Barney Roy finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th -£20.00 +£18.43 +£20.00 £18.43 profit
Barney Roy finishes outside top 4 -£20.00 +£18.43 £1.57 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £18.43 if Barney Roy finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose £1.57 on any other outcome. Risking £1.57 to make a profit of £18.43 gives us effective odds of 12.74, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, cash refunds will be credited within 24 hours of the race finishing.

* Laurens was available at back odds of 7.00 and lay odds of 7.80. Laurens finished outside the top 4, resulting in a loss of £2.37 on this Sky Bet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.