Sky Bet Offer – 1.45 Goodwood

Why bother looking for horse racing tips today, when you can do a bit of matched betting and make low-risk profits?  Sky Bet are back with another First Race Special on todays horse racing.  If the favourite wins the 1.45 at Goodwood race course, Sky Bet will refund all losing outright bets on that race as a free bet up to £25.00.  Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential risk-free profit of £10.71 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.

For this particular offer, we need to select a horse that isn’t likely to start the race as favourite.  This ensures that if the favourite wins, we will automatically be eligible for a free bet refund as our qualifying bet will have lost.  Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on The Corsican.

skybet

Place £25.00 on The Corsican @ 6.50 = Potential profit of £137.50

betfair

Lay £22.73 on The Corsican @ 7.20 = Potential liability of £140.91

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

The Corsican wins +£137.50 – £140.91 = £3.41 loss
The favourite wins -£25.00 + £21.59 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 free bet) = £16.59 profit
Neither wins -£25.00 + £21.59 = £3.41 loss

So as things stand we will make £16.59 profit if the favourite wins.  We also stand to lose £3.41 on any other outcome and so we need to insure ourselves against this by laying the favourite at the betting exchange.  Although Remote looks like starting the race as favourite at the time of writing, we should really place this next bet as close to the race starting as possible, so we can be sure we are laying the race favourite.  In order to calculate our lay stake, we need to divide £3.41 by 0.95 to account for the 5% commission.  This gives us a lay stake of £3.59.

betfair

Lay £3.59 on Remote @ 2.64 = Potential liability of £5.88

Let’s have a look at our overall profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

The Corsican wins -£3.41 + £3.41 = £0.00
The favourite wins £16.59 – £5.88 = £10.71 profit
Neither wins -£3.41 + £3.41 = £0.00

So if Remote doesn’t win, we will break even and there’s no harm done.  However, if Remote justifies his favourite tag by winning the 1.45 at Goodwood, we will make a nice profit of £10.71!

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £25.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.