There’s a big day of racing at Aintree on Saturday and it’s time for another Sky Bet Special! If our horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the 13:30 at Aintree, Sky Bet will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £13.22 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed between 14:00 on Friday 8th December 2017 and 13:30 on Saturday 9th December 2017, to be eligible.
It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional odds for Blaklion in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity in the run up to races and the site is really easy to use.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £19.18…
Place £20.00 on Blaklion @ 3.50 = Potential profit of £50.00
Lay £19.18 on Blaklion @ 3.70 = Potential liability of £51.78
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Blaklion wins | + £50.00 – £51.78 = £1.78 loss |
| Blaklion places 2nd 3rd or 4th | – £20.00 + £18.22 + £15.00 (extract 75% from our £20.00 free bet) = £13.22 profit |
| Blaklion finishes outside top 4 | – £20.00 + £18.22 = £1.78 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £13.22 if Blaklion places 2nd, 3rd or 4th and we stand to lose £1.78 on any other outcome. Risking £1.78 to make a profit of £13.22 gives us effective odds of 8.43, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our free bet will be credited within 24 hours of the race ending and will be valid for 3 days.
If you’re unsure how to extract 75% of a £20.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* See my Horse Racing Offers page for a full list of money back offers available today! *
* Blaklion was available at back odds of 2.75 and lay odds of 2.90. Blaklion won the race, resulting in a loss of £1.67 on this Sky Bet offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.