It’s England v South Africa in the Rugby World Cup 2019 Final on Saturday morning and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on any market and if Manu Tuilagi or Faf de Klerk scores a try, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.50 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 12:00 on Tuesday 29th October 2019 and 09:00 (kick-off) on Saturday 2nd November 2019.
- This offer applies to all England v South Africa markets.
- If our first bet loses and Manu Tuilagi (ENG) or Faf de Klerk (RSA) scores a try, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on England -15.5 (11/4) in the Alternative 2 Way Handicap Betting market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £0.50 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England win by 16 points or more | +£27.50 | -£28.00 | £0.50 loss | |
| England don’t win by 16+ points and Tuilagi or de Klerk scores a try | -£10.00 | +£9.50 | +£8.00 | £7.50 profit |
| England don’t win by 16+ points and Tuilagi and de Klerk don’t score a try | -£10.00 | +£9.50 | £0.50 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.50 if England don’t win by 16 points or more and Manu Tuilagi or Faf de Klerk scores a try and we stand to lose around £0.50 on any other outcome. Risking £0.50 to make a profit of £7.50, gives us effective odds of 16.00. So, given that Manu Tuilagi and Faf de Klerk are odds of 3.75 (11/4) and 8.00 (7/1) respectively to score a try, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending. Free bet stakes will not be included in any returns.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* South Africa won the match 32-12 and neither Tuilagi or de Klerk scored a try, resulting in a loss of £0.50 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.