England v Tonga Offer – Betfred

It’s England v Tonga in the Rugby World Cup on Sunday morning and you don’t want to miss this Betfred ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place a single bet of £10.00 or more on England v Tonga and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet to use on Monday. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.03 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater.
  • Offer applies to single bets only.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Tonga +40.5 in the Handicap -40.5 market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.22…

Betfred logo

Place £10.00 on Tonga +40.5 @ 2.25 = Potential profit of £12.50

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.22 on Tonga +40.5 @ 2.46 = Potential liability of £13.46

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
England don’t win by 41+ points +£12.50 -£13.46 £0.96 loss
England win by 41+ points -£10.00 +£9.03 £0.97 loss

So, regardless of the result, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.97 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 12:00 on Monday 23rd September 2019 and will be valid until 09:00 on Tuesday 24th September 2019.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £5.00 free bet, so £4.00. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £0.97, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.03 on this Betfred offer!

* England won the match 35-3, resulting in a profit of £3.04 on this Betfred offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.