A massive game for Wales as they look to win Pool A and avoid a quarter-final clash with South Africa and Ladbrokes are back with another great offer. If Wales score first against Australia, Ladbrokes will refund losing First/Anytime Tryscorer bets, as a free bet up to £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £16.26 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Adam Ashley-Cooper to score the first try.
We can calculate our lay stakes using the matched betting calculator.
Place £25.00 on Adam Ashley-Cooper @ 13.00 = Potential profit of £300.00
Lay £21.70 on Adam Ashley-Cooper @ 15.00 = Potential liability of £303.74
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the three outcomes…
Ashley-Cooper scores 1st try and Wales score first | +£300.00 – £303.74 = £3.74 loss |
Ashley-Cooper scores 1st try and Australia score first | +£300.00 – £303.74 = £3.74 loss |
Ashley-Cooper doesn’t score 1st try and Wales score first | -£25.00 + £21.26 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 free bet) = £16.26 profit |
Ashley-Cooper doesn’t score 1st try and Australia score first | -£25.00 + £21.26 = £3.74 loss |
So if Adam Ashley-Cooper doesn’t score the first try and Wales score the first points of the match, we will make a nice profit of £16.26! Any other outcome and we will have made a loss of £3.74. I would usually avoid doing offers that have such a large risk but risking £3.74 to make a potential profit of £16.26 gives us effective odds of 5.35. The fact that Wales are only 1.90 to score first, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £25.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.