Six Nations 2019 Offer (Week 1) – BetStars

It’s Week 1 of the Six Nations 2019 and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from BetStars! Simply place a bet on any Six Nations Match Result market and if the team we backed loses by 5 points or less, BetStars will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £20.00+ and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Qualifying bets must be placed on the Match Result market.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match.
  • If our selected team loses by 5 points or less, our stake will be refunded as a free bet, up to £10.00.

Qualifying Bets:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

This offer is available on all three Six Nations 2019 matches this weekend…

Fixture Kick-Off Date
France v Wales 20:00 Friday 1st February 2019
Scotland v Italy 14:15 Saturday 2nd February 2019
Ireland v England 16:45 Saturday 2nd February 2019

It’s entirely up to you which teams you place your qualifying bets on. Having looked at the odds available for France v Wales, we could place our qualifying bet on Wales.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.55…

BetStars logo

Place £10.00 on Wales @ 2.10 = Potential profit of £11.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.55 on Wales @ 2.22 = Potential liability of £11.65

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
Wales win +£11.00 -£11.65 £0.65 loss
Wales lose by 5 points or less -£10.00 +£9.35 +£8.00 £7.35 profit
Wales lose by 6 points or more -£10.00 +£9.35 £0.65 loss

So, if Wales lose by 5 points or less, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.35. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a loss of £0.65. Risking £0.65 to make a profit of £7.35, gives us effective odds of 12.31. So, given that France are odds of just 4.50 (7/2) to win by 1-5 points, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

This offer is available on all three Six Nations 2019 matches this weekend. I’ll update the following table with some suggested bets throughout the weekend…

Fixture Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Qualifying Loss Potential Profit
France v Wales Wales 2.10 2.22 £0.65 £7.35
Scotland v Italy
Ireland v England England 4.00 4.00 £0.15 £7.84

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 48 hours of our qualifying bet settling and will be valid for 7 days.

If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bets, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.