Australian Open 2019 Men’s Final Offer – MoPlay

It’s the Australian Open 2019 Men’s Final on Saturday morning and you don’t want to miss this MoPlay ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place £10.00+ via mobile on any 1st Set market for Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal and MoPlay will give us a £5.00 free bet to use in play. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.31 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must bet £10.00 or more on any 1st Set market for Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal from a mobile device.
  • Qualifying bets can be placed pre-match or in play.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater.
  • We must opt in to receive our free bet by clicking ‘Accept’ when prompted by the pop up which appears after our qualifying bet has settled.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Rafael Nadal in the Winner 1st Set market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.81…

MoPlay logo

Place £10.00 on Rafael Nadal @ 2.05 = Potential profit of £10.50

Betfair logo

Lay £9.81 on Rafael Nadal @ 2.14 = Potential liability of £11.18

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Nadal wins 1st set +£10.50 -£11.18 £0.68 loss
Nadal doesn’t win 1st set -£10.00 +£9.31 £0.69 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.69 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited upon settlement of our qualifying bet and will be valid on any remaining in play market for the same match. Free bet stakes are excluded from any winnings.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from the £5.00 free bet, so £4.00. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £0.69, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.31 on this MoPlay offer!

* Novak Djokovic won the first set, resulting in a profit of £3.31 on this MoPlay offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.