Shapovalov v Aliassime Offer – Betway

£45.44
Potential Profit
£-2.55
Actual Profit

It’s Denis Shapovalov v Felix Auger Aliassime in the Australian Open 3rd Round on Friday and you don’t want to miss this Betway early payout offer! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Shapovalov or Aliassime to win the match and if our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash, no matter the final result! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £45.44 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
  • Applies to single bets placed on Shapovalov or Aliassime in the Match Winner market.
  • Applies to bets placed before the match starts, which is due to be at 08:00 on Friday 12th February 2021.
  • If our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.

NOTE: Be aware that Betway have different retirement rules to Betfair and Smarkets, which could leave you exposed to a big loss in the event of a retirement. The safest way of doing this offer is dutching your qualifying bet at another bookmaker with the same retirement rules, as explained in this guide.

Qualifying bet

If you’re unfamiliar with early payout offers, please see my Bet365 Early Payout (2UP) guide for a walkthrough guide on how they should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Felix Auger Aliassime at odds of 2.40 (7/5). If Aliassime wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner.

At the time of writing, Bet365 have the best odds for Denis Shapovalov at 1.571 (4/7).

We can calculate our stake using the ‘2-Way Dutch‘ setting on my Early Payout Calculator

2-Way Dutch
Advanced

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

2nd Bookie

Recommended stake
-

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%
Lay stake
-
Liability
-
The bookmaker has paid out early
Back stakeStake
-
Bookie
Exchange
Total
If team wins
If team draws
If team loses
Bookie 1
Bookie 2
Bookie 3
Total
If selection wins
If selection loses

As you can see, the calculator tells us to stake £30.55 on Denis Shapovalov

Betway logo

Place £20.00 on Felix Auger Aliassime @ 2.40 = Potential profit of £28.00

Bet365 logo

Place £30.55 on Denis Shapovalov @ 1.571 = Potential profit of £17.44

No early payout

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss if Aliassime doesn’t win the first set…

OutcomeBetwayBet365Profit/Loss
Aliassime wins+ £28.00– £30.55£2.55 loss
Aliassime loses– £20.00+ £17.44£2.56 loss

So, worst case scenario, we’ll lose a maximum of £2.56 in qualifying for this early payout offer.

Early payout!

If Aliassime wins the first set, we need to select the early payout toggle (in the grey section) to tell the calculator that ‘The bookmaker has paid out early‘…

2-Way Dutch
Advanced

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

2nd Bookie

Recommended stake
-

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%
Lay stake
-
Liability
-
The bookmaker has paid out early
Back stakeStake
-
Bookie
Exchange
Total
If team wins
If team draws
If team loses
Bookie 1
Bookie 2
Bookie 3
Total
If selection wins
If selection loses

As you can see, our potential profit/loss is as follows, now that Betway have paid out early…

OutcomeBetwayBet365Profit/Loss
Aliassime wins+ £28.00– £30.55£2.55 loss
Aliassime loses+ £28.00+ £17.44£45.44 profit

So, if we let things run and Aliassime goes on to win, we’ll still make a loss of £2.55, but if Aliassime loses, we’ll make a profit of £45.44!

Lock in profit

If we decide to lock in a profit, we’ll need to enter the back odds for Aliassime to win at a third bookmaker. Let’s say, for example, Aliassime is odds of 1.50 at BetVictor…

2-Way Dutch
Advanced

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

2nd Bookie

Recommended stake
-

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%
Lay stake
-
Liability
-
The bookmaker has paid out early
Back stakeStake
-
Bookie
Exchange
Total
If team wins
If team draws
If team loses
Bookie 1
Bookie 2
Bookie 3
Total
If selection wins
If selection loses

As you can see, the calculator tells us that we need to stake £32.00 on Aliassime to win at BetVictor…

Place £32.00 on Felix Auger Aliassime @ 1.50 = Potential profit of £16.00

Now let’s have a look at our overall potential profit for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBetwayBet365BetVictorProfit/Loss
Aliassime wins+ £28.00– £30.55+ £16.00£13.45 profit
Aliassime loses+ £28.00+ £17.44– £32.00£13.44 profit

So, regardless of the outcome, we would make a guaranteed profit of £13.44 on this match!

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.

* Aliassime won the first set and went on to win the match 3-0, resulting in a loss of £2.55 on this Betway offer. *

Got a question?
Leave me a comment below

I usually respond within 24 hours.

Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £50,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.