My theory beyond matched betting

  • Hi all have not posted in a while and have seen the forum collapse due to the lack of offers. My online career is all but over now due to being gubbed in the last week by my last few standing accounts. Anyway people will want to argue this but over the last month I turned a 4K bankroll into 21k by something called each way arbing.

    The basic jist of this is to pick races with 8,9 16-20 runners and backing certain horses each way. It always works in fields of 16-20 runners where 4 are paid and works in the 8 or 9 especially when there are 2 or 3 outsiders or an odds on favourite.

    For example I put 100 ew on a 12/1 shot on bet365 in a 17 runner race. I am looking to lay at 13 on betfair. Let the lay match and as soon as it has take the 12/1. Current position is your down a max of 5 pounds on bf commission. (Use smarkets if you wish)

    Then go on the place markets and lay the horse. The odds on 365 are 3/1 (4) as a 1/4 of the odds. On betfair this should be lower and often trading around 3.3/3.4. This means you can play about with the numbers to make a profit but say i lay 120 @ 3.4 to lose 288 I can make around 12-14 on this part after commission. Therefore I’m around a tenner up before the race regardless of what happens.

    As my bankroll got bigger I got better at it by doing multiple horses in races and laying the places 3 mins before the start of the race. people can say what they want about me being 17k up from it but I know I have made this money and the theory works if you are sharp at maths can react quickly to mental calculations and I know a few people on here would be able to do it.

    Good luck to those who go for it. I will be spending some time at mates houses over the summer and taking a 50 50 cut for the use of their name.

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    FoG_BLoG 49

    Hi Deljo.

    Ideally you want to back e/w and lay the win part at the same time. Its a bit risky hoping the win lay drops.

    The place lay often drops just because the market only wakes up before the race.

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    beesty2016 3

    Sorry I haven’t posted all week but I have to laugh at this. Won’t say what bookie I tried but it is the first time in about a month I have actually done this theory in a race so put in £200 into their site 20 mins before the start. Tried to get on 3 different horses for 100 ew but the odds changed or they wouldn’t take it, I finally get on Like the Sound @ 20/1 2 mins before the start. Managed to lay at 19.5 and did the place for a guarnteed 25 profit. Horse leads from start to finish. Odds on I will be gubbed come 3 pm.

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    MonkeyTennis 2

    Sounds familiar Beesty. I had a 50 each way winner at 11/1 on Wednesday with coral. By Thursday afternoon I was restricted and have just had an email telling me that I can’t place any sports bets with them at all.

    I was already gubbed with them but was always able to place normal bets.

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    FoG_BLoG 49

    Bangor 2:40.

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    granitechin 0

    sunbets promo today is 1/4 odds at Bangor so worth looking at backing there if odds are decent enough

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    supert 4

    Whoops!! Who else hit the winner in 2.40 race??? Only had £20 ew at 40/1 messed up by laying £15 @ 55.0 before got smashed in so actually lost £10 on the win!! Managed to lay £34 @ 4.26 to make £50 on the place thou!!!

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    supert 4

    Pleasuredome @17.0 ew in the 12.40 @ kempton is the vet of the day guys …. hurry already gone at paddy (mb2nd to fav) but at fred and laddies … hurry
    Already give it out once but a cracker

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    FoG_BLoG 49

    I dont know if ppl look at the 5 horse races for this.

    But looks to me Black Hercules ew @ 12/1 is good value in Leopardstown 13:20. He is 2nd fav and you are getting effective odds of 3/1 on the place (1-2 in a 5 horse race). Douvan will easily win but Hercules is favourite to finish 2nd.

    Similarly Stephanie Frances also 12/1 in Kempton 13:45. Altior will easily win but its 50-50 between the other two horses for the place – with the two 100/1 + horses finishing nowhere.

    The maths works out as well at current exchange prices to be able to guarantee a profit.

    The only danger is non-runner then the bookie will only pay out on the win.

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    LockBresner 0

    What’s the story with non-runners on the 365 deal?

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    MbPunter 18

    Just place a new bet and will get a refund on that one.

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