£6.42
Guaranteed Profit
£6.42
Actual Profit

Arsenal v Man City Offer – Novibet


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 18/07/2020 19:45

It’s Arsenal v Man City in the FA Cup Semi-Finals on Saturday night and you don’t want to miss this Novibet free bet offer! Simply place a £30.00+ single bet on Arsenal v Man City and Novibet will give us a £10.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £6.42 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Applies to single pre-match or in play bets on any Arsenal v Man City market.
  • Minimum stake of £30.00.
  • Minimum odds of 1.70 (7/10).

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Yes in the Both teams to score market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £29.00…

Novibet logo

Place £30.00 on ‘Both teams to score – Yes’ @ 1.74 = Potential profit of £22.20

Betfair logo

Lay £29.00 on ‘Both teams to Score? – Yes’ @ 1.82 = Potential liability of £23.78

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeProfit/Loss
Both teams score – Yes+£22.20-£23.78£1.58 loss
Both teams score – No-£30.00+£28.42£1.58 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose £1.58 in qualifying for our £10.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £10.00 free bet will be credited within 24 hours of our qualifying bet being settled and will be valid for 7 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £10.00 free bet, so £8.00. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £1.58, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £6.42 on this Novibet offer!

* Arsenal won the match 2-0, resulting in a profit of £6.42 on this Novibet offer. *

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