It’s Burnley v Man City in Saturday’s early kick-off and you don’t want to miss this William Hill price boost. They’re enhancing Man City to win by 3 or more goals from 2/1 to a tasty 7/2! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a risk-free potential profit of £8.15 and here’s how…
Price Boost Bet:
This price boost will be available for a limited time only from 10:30 on Saturday 3rd February 2018!
The maximum stake for this price boost is likely to be £10.00.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.
We can underlay ‘Man City -2‘ to make this offer risk-free. We can find that selection in the ‘Burnley +2‘ handicap market. ‘Man City -2‘ effectively means betting on Man City to win with them starting on -2 goals. So, in other words, to win by 3 or more goals.
We can calculate our underlay stake using my matched betting calculator. We just need to open up the ‘SHOW ADVANCED’ section and click the ‘UNDERLAY’ tab…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £10.53…
Place £10.00 on Man City to win by 3 or more goals @ 4.50 = Potential profit of £35.00
Lay £10.53 on ‘Man City -2’ @ 3.55 = Potential liability of £26.85
Let’s have a look at our profit/loss for the two potential outcomes…
| Man City win by 3 or more goals | + £35.00 – £26.85 = £8.15 profit |
| Man City don’t win by 3 or more goals | – £10.00 + £10.00 (£10.53 minus 5% commission) = £0.00 |
So, if Man City don’t win by 3 or more goals, we’ll break even and there’s no harm done. However, if Man City do win by 3 or more goals, we’ll make a nice risk-free profit of £8.15 on this William Hill price boost!
* The match was drawn 1-1, resulting in break even on this William Hill price boost. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.