£3.64
Guaranteed Profit
£3.65
Actual Profit

Dortmund v Bayern Munich Offer – Betfred


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 26/05/2020 17:30

It’s Dortmund v Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Betfred ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place a pre-match single bet of £10.00 or more on Dortmund v Bayern Munich and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet to use in play on the same match. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.64 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Applies to bets placed between 17:00 on Monday 25th May 2020 and 17:30 (kick-off) on Tuesday 26th May 2020.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • Qualifying bet must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Bayern Munich in the Match Result market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.84…

Betfred logo

Place £10.00 on Fc Bayern Munchen @ 1.909 = Potential profit of £9.09

Betfair logo

Lay £9.84 on Bayern Munich @ 1.96 = Potential liability of £9.44

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeProfit/Loss
Bayern Munich win+£9.09-£9.44£0.35 loss
Bayern Munich don't win-£10.00+£9.64£0.36 loss

So, regardless of the result, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.36 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 17:30 on Tuesday 26th May 2020 and will be valid until 09:00 on Wednesday 27th May 2020.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £5.00 free bet, so £4.00. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £0.36, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.64 on this Betfred offer!

* Bayern Munich won the match 1-0, resulting in a profit of £3.65 on this Betfred offer. *

Comments


  1. Bob

    Guest user

    Not sure if you’ve posted it can’t see it but PokerStars are doing bet 20 get 10 in play through the challenges window @Matt.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      294

      Was that one available to all customers Bob or invite only? Either way, thanks for posting.

      +0
      Reply
      1. bob

        Guest user

        I assume It’s all customers because the challenges are usually sitewide. I’ll keep an eye out for the next one and let you know.

        +0
        Reply
        1. Matt

          294

          Thanks Bob, I’ll keep an eye out for that one too.

          +0
  2. Daniel N

    Guest user

    My free bet hasn’t appeared 🤬

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      294

      Did it come through in the end Daniel?

      +0
      Reply

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