£7.14
Potential Profit
£-1.14
Actual Profit

FC Minsk v Dinamo Minsk Offer – Space Casino


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 28/03/2020 14:00

It’s FC Minsk v Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus Premier League on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Space Casino. Simply place a £10.00+ bet on selected markets and if our bet loses and Dinamo Minsk win, Space Casino will give us a £10.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.14 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must bet £10.00+ on FC Minsk v Dinamo Minsk (14:00) on Saturday 28th March 2020.
  • Applies to any Result or Exact Score market (90 minutes).
  • If our bet loses and Dinamo Minsk win, Space Casino will give us a £10.00 free bet.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional odds for FC Minsk (1X2 Full Time) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with some actual odds after the match.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.33…

Space Casino logo

Place £10.00 on FC Minsk @ 3.20 = Potential profit of £22.00

Betfair logo

Lay £9.33 on FC Minsk @ 3.45 = Potential liability of £22.85

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeExtractedProfit/Loss
FC Minsk win+£22.00-£22.85£0.85 loss
Dinamo Minsk win-£10.00+£9.14£8.00£7.14 profit
Draw-£10.00+£9.14£0.86 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.14 if Dinamo Minsk win the match and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.86 on any other outcome. Risking £0.86 to make a profit of £7.14, gives us effective odds of 9.30. So, given that Dinamo Minsk are odds of just 2.375 (11/8) to win the match, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our £10.00 free bet will be credited by 16:00 on Monday 30th March 2020 and will be valid for 30 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* FC Minsk were available at back odds of 3.10 and lay odds of 3.45. FC Minsk won the match 3-2, resulting in a loss of £1.14 on this Space Casino offer. *

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