£7.21
Potential Profit
£-0.79
Actual Profit

Mainz v RB Leipzig Offer – Space Casino


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 24/05/2020 14:30

It’s Mainz v RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Space Casino. Simply place a £10.00+ bet on selected markets and if our bet loses, RB Leipzig win and both teams score, Space Casino will give us a £10.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.21 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must bet £10.00+ on Mainz v RB Leipzig (14:30) on Sunday 24th May 2020.
  • Applies to any Result or Exact Score market (90 minutes).
  • If our bet loses, RB Leipzig win and both team score, Space Casino will give us a £10.00 free bet.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a Draw in the 1X2 Full Time market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.40…

Space Casino logo

Place £10.00 on a draw @ 5.15 = Potential profit of £41.50

Betfair logo

Lay £9.40 on a draw @ 5.50 = Potential liability of £42.30

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
Draw +£41.50 -£42.30 £0.80 loss
RB Leipzig win and both teams score -£10.00 +£9.21 £8.00 £7.21 profit
Any other outcome -£10.00 +£9.21 £0.79 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.21 if RB Leipzig win the match and both teams score and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.80 on any other outcome. Risking £0.80 to make a profit of £7.21, gives us effective odds of 10.01. So, given that the odds are just 2.25 (5/4) for RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our £10.00 free bet will be credited by 16:00 on Monday 25th May 2020 and will be valid for 30 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* RB Leipzig won the match 5-0, resulting in a loss of £0.79 on this Space Casino offer. *

Comments


  1. papillon

    1

    They’re running this promo for tonights Berlin Derby and tomorrows Bayern Munich game. Doesn’t say you can’t do all 3 games but this one probably has best chance of free bet return

    +0
    Reply

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