It’s Crystal Palace v Arsenal in the Premier League on Friday night, and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power price boost! They’ve enhanced Gabriel Jesus to have 1 or more shots on target from 4/11 to a rather nice evens. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives you a potential profit of £2.42, and here’s how…
Power Price Boost
The maximum stake for this Power Price boost is £10.00.
If you’d like a walkthrough of how to lay price boosts, please see my ‘Price Boosts‘ guide.
You may be able to get better lay odds if you wait until an hour or so before kick-off. The lay odds often shorten once the team news is announced and the player involved is confirmed to be starting the match.
You can calculate your underlay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator. You just need to open up the ‘Advanced‘ section and click the ‘Underlay‘ tab.
As you can see, the calculator tells you that your lay stake should be £10.53.
Place £10.00 on ‘Gabriel Jesus to have 1 or more shots on target’ @ 2.00 = Potential profit of £10.00
Lay £10.53 on ‘Gabriel Jesus To Have Over 0.5 Shots On Target’ @ 1.72 = Potential liability of £7.58
Outcomes
Let’s look at your profit/loss for the possible outcomes.
| Outcome | Paddy Power | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus has 1+ shots on target | + £10.00 | – £7.58 | £2.42 profit |
| Any other outcome | – £10.00 | + £10.00 | £0.00 |
So, if Jesus fails to hit the target, you’ll break even and there’s no harm done. However, if Jesus has 1 or more shots on target, you’ll make a nice profit of £2.42 on this Paddy Power price boost!
If you prefer to lock in a smaller profit, you can simply use the ‘Standard‘ tab on the calculator for a fixed profit of £1.38.
* Jesus failed to have a shot on target, resulting in break-even on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.