Winner Offer – Real Madrid v Barcelona

Real Madrid host arch rivals Barcelona in El Clasico tonight and Winner Sports are offering odds of 3.00 (2/1) on there being over 2.5 goals scored in the game. There is a maximum stake of £10.00 allowed and translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £7.18 and here’s how…

Winning bets will be settled at the standard price and the additional winnings from the enhanced price paid into our account within 48 hours of the matches finishing. The extra winnings will be paid as a free bet. The odds at the time of writing are 1.50 so a £10.00 bet would return £15.00 cash and a £15.00 free bet.

By using straightforward matched betting, we can extract approximately 80% cash from our £15.00 free bet, so £12.00, giving us total cash returns of £27.00 and effective odds of 2.70! We can enter these effective odds as our back odds on the following calculator to work out our lay stake…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £17.53…

winner

Place £10.00 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 = Potential profit of £5.00

smarkets white

Lay £17.53 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.56 = Potential liability of £9.82

Let’s have a look at our profit/loss for the two potential outcomes…

Over 2.5 Goals +£5.00 – £9.82 + £12.00 (extract 80% from £15.00 free bet) = £7.18 profit
Under 2.5 Goals -£10.00 + £17.18 (£17.53 minus 2% commission) = £7.18 profit

So regardless of the result of the match, we will make a guaranteed profit of £7.18 on this Winner offer.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.