Real Madrid host arch rivals Barcelona in El Clasico tonight and Winner Sports are offering odds of 3.00 (2/1) on there being over 2.5 goals scored in the game. There is a maximum stake of £10.00 allowed and translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £7.18 and here’s how…
Winning bets will be settled at the standard price and the additional winnings from the enhanced price paid into our account within 48 hours of the matches finishing. The extra winnings will be paid as a free bet. The odds at the time of writing are 1.50 so a £10.00 bet would return £15.00 cash and a £15.00 free bet.
By using straightforward matched betting, we can extract approximately 80% cash from our £15.00 free bet, so £12.00, giving us total cash returns of £27.00 and effective odds of 2.70! We can enter these effective odds as our back odds on the following calculator to work out our lay stake…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £17.53…
Place £10.00 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 = Potential profit of £5.00
Lay £17.53 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.56 = Potential liability of £9.82
Let’s have a look at our profit/loss for the two potential outcomes…
| Over 2.5 Goals | +£5.00 – £9.82 + £12.00 (extract 80% from £15.00 free bet) = £7.18 profit |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -£10.00 + £17.18 (£17.53 minus 2% commission) = £7.18 profit |
So regardless of the result of the match, we will make a guaranteed profit of £7.18 on this Winner offer.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.