£30.00+
Potential Profit
£61.40
Actual Profit

ITV Racing 15 to Go Offer – Unibet


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 04/07/2020 13:50

There’s a big schedule of ITV Racing across Saturday and Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Unibet ’15 to Go’ offer! Simply bet on any ITV race in the 15 minutes before the scheduled start time and if we back the winner, Unibet will match our stake with a free bet, up to £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £30.00+ and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Minimum stake of £5.00.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed on the selected ITV races in the 15 minutes before the scheduled start time.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater.
  • To be eligible, we must click the ’15 to Go’ button that appears on our betslip after entering our stake.
  • If our selected horse wins, Unibet will match our stake as a free bet, up to £20.00.

Qualifying Bets:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

This offer is available on the following ITV races this weekend…

RaceDate
13:50 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
14:25 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
15:00 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
15:40 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
16:15 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
16:55 EpsomSaturday 4th July 2020
--
13:50 SandownSunday 5th July 2020
14:05 HaydockSunday 5th July 2020
14:25 SandownSunday 5th July 2020
14:40 HaydockSunday 5th July 2020
15:00 SandownSunday 5th July 2020
15:15 HaydockSunday 5th July 2020
15:35 SandownSunday 5th July 2020

It’s entirely up to you which horses you place your qualifying bets on. We won’t know what odds are available until 15 minutes before the off, so I’ll use fictional odds for Twaasol (2/1) in the 13:50 at Epsom on Saturday and I’ll update the bottom of the post with some actual selections after the races.

At the time of writing, laying our bets at Betfair is likely to give us the smallest qualifying losses.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

Option 1:

We know that if our horse wins, we’ll be able to extract 80% cash from the £20.00 free bet. We can therefore add 0.80 to the back odds to get our effective odds…

3.00 + 0.80 = 3.80

We simply enter 3.80 as our back odds instead of 3.00 and lay the amount shown on the calculator. Overlaying like this is fine, but the guaranteed profits are likely to be small.

Option 2:

Our second option is to lay our bets as normal and hope some of our horses win for bigger profits.

We can calculate our stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.87…

Unibet logo

Place £20.00 on Twaasol @ 3.00 = Potential profit of £40.00

Betfair logo

Lay £18.87 on Twaasol @ 3.20 = Potential liability of £41.51

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeExtractedProfit/Loss
Twaasol wins+£40.00-£41.51+£16.00£14.49 profit
Twaasol doesn't win-£20.00+£18.49£1.51 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £14.49 if Twaasol wins, otherwise we’ll lose £1.51. Risking £1.51 to make a profit of £14.49 gives us effective odds of 10.60. So, given that Twaasol is odds of just 3.00 (2/1) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

ITV are covering 13 races across Saturday and Sunday, giving us an overall potential profit of £30.00+ on this Unibet ’15 to Go’ offer!

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the weigh-in and will be valid on horse racing for 7 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract £16.00 cash (80%) from the £20.00 free bets, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

I’ll update the following table with some actual selections after the races…

RaceSelectionBack OddsLay OddsProfit
Saturday 13:50 EpsomTwaasol3.253.45+£14.58
Saturday 14:25 EpsomSafe Voyage2.202.36+£14.44
Saturday 15:00 EpsomIronclad4.004.40-£2.11
Saturday 15:40 EpsomLove2.102.30+£14.06
Saturday 16:15 EpsomFooraat2.252.32-£0.83
Saturday 16:55 EpsomKameko3.503.65-£1.11
Sunday 13:50 SandownLiberty Beach2.6252.76-£1.23
Sunday 14:05 HaydockFavourite Moon2.802.92+£14.93
Sunday 14:25 SandownCross Counter2.3752.52-£1.38
Sunday 14:40 HaydockCabaletta5.505.80-£1.36
Sunday 15:00 SandownMontatham2.202.40+£14.12
Sunday 15:15 HaydockLaafy4.504.80-£1.55
Sunday 15:35 SandownEnable2.002.10-£1.16

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