£7.00
Potential Profit
£-1.00
Actual Profit

Money Back Offer (15:35 Doncaster) – Genting Bet


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 12/09/2020 15:35

There’s a big day of racing at Doncaster on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Genting Bet offer! Simply place a single bet of £10.00+ on the 15:35 at Doncaster and get a £10.00 free bet if our selection loses and Pyledriver wins the race. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.00 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must place a single bet of £10.00+ or £10.00 each way on the St Leger.
  • Our bet must be placed before 15:35 (race-off) on Saturday 12th September 2020.
  • If our first bet loses and Pyledriver wins, we’ll get a £10.00 free bet.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my Qualifying Bets Guide.

For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay any horse other than Pyledriver.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Santiago.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.

For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.19…

Genting Bet logo

Place £10.00 on Santiago @ 3.75 = Potential profit of £27.50

Betfair logo

Lay £9.19 on Santiago @ 4.10 = Potential liability of £28.48

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
Santiago wins +£27.50 -£28.48 £0.98 loss
Pyledriver wins -£10.00 +£9.00 +£8.00 £7.00 profit
Another horse wins -£10.00 +£9.00 £1.00 loss

So, if Pyledriver wins, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.00! Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.00. Risking £1.00 to make a profit of £7.00, gives us effective odds of 8.00. So, given that Pyledriver is odds of just 4.00 (3/1) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 4 hours of the race settling and will be valid for 3 days. Free bet stakes are not returned with any winnings.

If you’re unsure how to convert your £10.00 free bet into £8.00 cash (80%), please see my Free Bets Guide for a walk-through of how it should be done.

* Galileo Chrome won the race, resulting in a loss of £1.00 on this Genting Bet offer. *

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