My theory beyond matched betting
-
Hi all have not posted in a while and have seen the forum collapse due to the lack of offers. My online career is all but over now due to being gubbed in the last week by my last few standing accounts. Anyway people will want to argue this but over the last month I turned a 4K bankroll into 21k by something called each way arbing.
The basic jist of this is to pick races with 8,9 16-20 runners and backing certain horses each way. It always works in fields of 16-20 runners where 4 are paid and works in the 8 or 9 especially when there are 2 or 3 outsiders or an odds on favourite.
For example I put 100 ew on a 12/1 shot on bet365 in a 17 runner race. I am looking to lay at 13 on betfair. Let the lay match and as soon as it has take the 12/1. Current position is your down a max of 5 pounds on bf commission. (Use smarkets if you wish)
Then go on the place markets and lay the horse. The odds on 365 are 3/1 (4) as a 1/4 of the odds. On betfair this should be lower and often trading around 3.3/3.4. This means you can play about with the numbers to make a profit but say i lay 120 @ 3.4 to lose 288 I can make around 12-14 on this part after commission. Therefore I’m around a tenner up before the race regardless of what happens.
As my bankroll got bigger I got better at it by doing multiple horses in races and laying the places 3 mins before the start of the race. people can say what they want about me being 17k up from it but I know I have made this money and the theory works if you are sharp at maths can react quickly to mental calculations and I know a few people on here would be able to do it.
Good luck to those who go for it. I will be spending some time at mates houses over the summer and taking a 50 50 cut for the use of their name.
+0June 22, 2016 at 9:37 pm
-
-
New to matched betting?
My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
Yeah that was amazing, I stupidly layed off the win part at 11 but still a lovely profit there again.
Printing money.
+0Yes them jokers @thebookieangel are at it again tipping 20/1 shots 21/6.4 win arb and 6.0/2.6 place arb that smashed home…. thought Beasty was putting his tips on here… must have missed it lads!!
#tomorrowwegoagain!!+0I timed that awfully and took 4.2, laid the win for 21 as soon as I placed , £10 EW cause I have a small bankroll. I genuinely feel sick? £170 if I’d waited instead £13, should’ve gone £20/£30 EW. Lesson learnt onto the next
+0I only put £10 each way on it and somehow I am £30 up lol! amazing tip.
+0Can go either way harris, they wont all come in like that.
+0My best bet now is not to go chasing the money I could’ve won, keep disciplined and keep it ticking over?
+0Looks like I’ve hit Stan James too hard with all of these in the last week. I am now restricted to pennies.
+0What stakes were you using Chris? Supert you claim to keep accounts open. What’s the tips?
+0@Supert you have gone a very long way from downing bottles of Whisky on page 5 and was highly critical of it on page 6. I for one will just put the key races up in the morning and then it’s up to people to find the arbs. I have no problem with you putting the tips on the page but would find it unfair for you to charge people the tips in the future which you said you may do.
I had a decent day at the course particularly early on with those number 2’s. The best thing is I have other loopholes and strategies beyond this which are working for me now. It still means I can continue professionally but it just means that I will have to keep these to myself for now.
It’s ashame there isn’t a PM on here as there would be a handful of people who I would be willing to give an insight to very quietly.
Anyway onwards and upwards keep the tips up mate but don’t charge people.
+0FoG – With the exception of the 2.25 race today because I was worried about a non runner, I’ve been staking £100 ew. On the 2.25 I went £20 ew.
+0I think the big stakes probably stand out. But probably do 20 each way and only make 20% profit and still get restricted. Who knows how they work.
+0“If you were trying to put people off because of a loss in value. Why look to advertise it to even more people?”
Exactly what MBpunter said, you contradicted yourself there. Also most of the advised ‘tips’ are with StanJames, anyone following will have their account lost in a matter of days.
Only trying to build a page to take money off of followers for something that isn’t work charging for when it’s on here. The whole ‘what’s wrong with that’ argument doesn’t hold up because it goes against everything this page was meant for – taking money off of the bookies, not each other.
+0Getting a bit tetchy in here innit ?
@supert Congrats on another great “tip”. What made you pick that particular horse? Just that it was sticking out like a sore thumb, like any old arb does? What was the lay when you “advised” it? Why are you now sharing your secrets when you said you were downplaying this strategy earlier on to protect your own profits? Can only be to monetise your “service”, no? Good luck to you pal but let’s not pretend your motives are anything other than self serving ?Edit : was typing and posted this before the post above mine.
Also, can you stop referring to your own twitter page in the 3rd person mate, it sounds almost as ridiculous as your TWGA pom-pom hashtags ?
+0Right tomorrows races that look good are as follows a potentially busy day.
12:10
12:25
1:00
1:10
2:20
3:40Non runners could change things but these are the ones that look good.
Also on a side note:
William Hill guarantee the price on premier league favourites. One price stands out which is 6/4 on my team Palace to win currently laying at 2.32. This is shops only. 6-7 quid guarnteed per 100 pounds staked.
Paddy Power are doing their two up offer and just to note Palace have been involved in this 3 times away from home this season. We have come back from 2-0 down away to Sunderland, Burnley and 3-1 down away to Swansea. We lost 2 of these games but there could be some value in backing Hull or Palace on PP to offset some profit and go for a big win.
I doubt it will happen but will put the info out there for people.
+0Each to their own everyone, no need for things to get heated.
Bottom line, someone has been posting tips for ew arbs on their Twitter account, tips that have never been given here or anywhere on the forum. I’ve made more than £500 from following them since last Wednesday and it has not cost me a penny. If the account becomes private and starts charging, I wont be signing up and paying for it because I would feel confident knowing what to look for now.
Enjoying the ride.
+0
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.