Horse Racing (25th Feb)
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Coral – Free bets for winners 3/1+ at all races in Meydan.
Bet365 4/1+ Feature races Lingfield 4:55 and Chelmsford 6:10.
Will Hill Money Back 2nd – Lingfield 2:00 and 4:55 (double check this, I only see it through the secret link someone shared this week – its not updated on the app yet).
For Coral and Bet365 you only get a free bet for a winner so can over lay to make risk free or guaranteed profit – takes some work though, you need to find pretty tight back and lay odds to make it worth while.
For Will Hill the 2:00 looks favourable.
+0February 24, 2016 at 10:40 pm
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how does the overlaying work to guarantee profit for the bet365 offers? is there any sort of walkthrough on the forum yet?
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https://www.trickybet.net/lay-calculator
Use that and look at the overlay when youve put your details in. If the loss if the horse wins is less than 80% of your stake then its possible to make a profit. An example would be £10 on @ 5.0 lay @ 5.2 overlay with smarkets 2% commission at cost of £10.20. If horse loses you break even but if it wins you lose £2.84 but should then be able to look for £8 profit from the risk free bet so a risk free £5.16 is possible. Apologies if that isnt easy to follow im no good at explaining things.
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Looks exciting!
+0Will hill 2.00 – Skidby mill 3.5 lay 3.6
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Cheers FoG
Did you boffins conclude that you need a ‘gap’ of no more than 0.6 in the odds for overlaying for GP to work?
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Depends on the odds I think tony. For example 5/5.6 you can guarantee a small profit but 11/11.6 you will be running into a loss.
I find you need tighter than that to make it worth while.
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Ok, thanks FoG
WH app only list the 2:20 at Lingfield as MBS, not the 4:55 btw. Possible more gremlins in their system?
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Apologies for the noob question. I won on the WH 2nd offer yesterday and have a £25 free bet. Is this free bet a stake back offer, or do they keep the £25 if it wins as per new customer offers? I’ve had a look through the T+Cs I cannot see that it is “stake not returned” freebie but wanted to check.
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Its stake not returned
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See tony. The 2.20 was yesterday’s offer. There isn’t even a 2.20 at lingfield today.
I see it on the banner on their home page now. 2.00 and 4.55.
I’ll dig out the secret link someone posted on the other thread too.
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https://mobet.williamhill.com/wap/en-gb/promotions_wap.t
This isn’t clear either as its got the wrong date! But the guy that pulled up this link last time was spot on and had the right races.
And like I said I can see the same races advertised right now on the home page on a big banner on the app. The info box in the horse races section is still listing yesterdays races though and hasn’t been updated.
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Its showing on my app, 2.00 and 4.55 races are MBS specials.
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Showing here now too.
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I put one of mine on last night (not layed as yet), but a horse has now been withdrawn, so the below applies.
Rule 4 deductions
Win
Please note the early price bets struck prior to 08:50:19 will be subject to a 10p Rule 4 deduction.I’ve had a search of the forum but couldn’t see anything, is there an easy way to work out a lay now?
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Hehe that’s my secret link ;-) been using it for at least 4 months now and it has always been accurate.
Needless to say, always best to wait for it to be show/confirmed on the app.. the link is updated way before it displays on the app so can be helpful.
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