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Ireland, England and Wales 9/4

  • On paddy power play.

    I think its worth about €3.86.

    Back Treble €20 @ 9/4 for potential €45 profit

    Lay Ireland €20.46 @ 2.24 for potential €25.31 loss or break even if Ireland lose
    Lay Wales €46.23 @ 1.22 for potential further €10.17 potential loss or break even if Wales lose.
    Lay England €56.61 @ 1.1 for potential further loss of €5.66 or break even if England lose.

    If Treble wins you are €(45 – 25.31 – 10.17 – 5.66) = €3.86 risk free profit?

    +0
    FoG_BLoG
    61
    February 13, 2016 at 12:21 pm

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    RyanB 16 February 13, 2016 at 12:31 pm

    £20 Returns £45 profit.
    Lay Ireland £20.41 @2.3 = £26.53 Liability.
    Lay Wales (£26.53 Liability + £20 Stake)/.98 = 47.48@1.21 = £9.97 Liability.
    Lay England (£26.53 + £9.97 +20)/.98 = £57.65@1.1 = £5.76 Liability.

    £45 – £26.53 – £9.97 – £5.76 = £2.74. So your working seem correct just different odds, for me probably not worth the effort. you could gamble and lay Ireland only and assume Wales & England should win….that would get £45 – £26.53 = £18.47 profit that’s an option.

    +0
    STC 4 February 13, 2016 at 1:02 pm

    Yeah doesnt appear to be much ‘added’ value for the effort required. Think I will give this a miss, thanks though.

    +0
    FoG_BLoG 61 February 13, 2016 at 1:04 pm

    A bit more value now Ireland is 2.18 to lay on smarkets which makes the whole thing worth about €5. Still an hour or so to the event.

    And the other odds might tighten up too closer to the games.

    +0
    FoG_BLoG 61 February 13, 2016 at 1:05 pm

    Now 2.16.

    +0
    Tony 18 February 13, 2016 at 1:21 pm

    Problem with this is that the one game I would lay is first, not last. May take a wee punt on it though for some interest when watching the games later

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    FoG_BLoG 61 February 13, 2016 at 2:16 pm

    Ireland right down to 2.08. I reckon there is €8 risk free profit in this now. Worth it yet?

    +0
    RyanB 16 February 13, 2016 at 2:21 pm

    I work it out to be around £6.50 so yes probably is worth it, even £1 is worth it. easy money if you’re doing other bets at the same time. its just I have a lot going on and knowing me if I forgot to lay or something stupid!

    +0
    RyanB 16 February 13, 2016 at 2:23 pm

    Looks like its gone now anyway

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    Jeff Heaney 1 February 13, 2016 at 3:32 pm

    Ireland were the risk and looks like they are gonna win..

    +0
    RyanB 16 February 13, 2016 at 3:34 pm

    Only 6 points in lots could change. I punted my £10 betsafe on no try @7.5 would be made up if that came in.

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    FoG_BLoG 61 February 13, 2016 at 3:52 pm

    Yes too tight for my liking. Come on Ireland! Don’t care about the bet so much. They have been winning in territory and possession but not always making it count on the score board .

    It’s still France in France and Ireland starting to make a lot of mistakes. Crowd really getting behind the French.

    +0
    RyanB 16 February 13, 2016 at 3:55 pm

    What are the usual odds of no try in a match?

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    STC 4 February 13, 2016 at 3:57 pm

    Yeah, French are looking strong.

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    STC 4 February 13, 2016 at 3:58 pm

    That was close.

    +0
    FoG_BLoG 61 February 13, 2016 at 4:00 pm

    I’m not sure but France are coming very close.

    +0
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