Paddy big bash offer
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Money back as freebet if your side scores 175 or more and doesn’t win.
Quick look this happened 1 in 5 games last time, plus a few others just below. So worth a stab with low ql.
Smarkets liquidity was a bit crap for first but managed to Dutch it as part of betway new customer turnover+0December 18, 2016 at 9:36 pm
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Haha. I have no idea what the big bash is, must have something to do with cricket.
I initially applied this post to football and thought you were mocking how useless the paddy offers have been lately “score 175 [goals] and doesn’t win”. That’s how I read your post.
+0That’s not coming in on the footy till Jan fog ;-)
Yeah it’s the aussie twenty twenty cricket competition+0
They ran this offer before for the T20 World Cup.
There is some debate on the offer here /topic/t20-cricket-world-cup-offers
Might be useful to read some of the comments and some of the stats provided.
+0Thanks, although the stats are likely to be different. A domestic competition will have closer matched sides than a world cup (reflected by current odds), so less one sided games and higher chance of this hitting….. reflected by more in my sample of 35 from last yrs Australia tournament v their sample of 35 from last world cup.
But whilst it might happen more than people may think you still need to hit the losing side, so a low ql a must+0You should be able to get under £1 ql. (One game can be dutched for nil already).
Say a ql of £30 over 35 games (which I’d hope to beat)
Expected return of £70 freebets based on hitting 50% of the 7 events last time. So £26 profit on 80% extractionWorst case £30 loss, but if dutching and no one sided series of wins that does return £700 mug bets across the board.
Bit luck and you hit 5 of these if 8 or 9 come in then you’d be £50 up with 80% extraction
+0I know feck all about cricket but lumped on the first match after betmans post. The 12p dutched qualifying loss made it a no brainer.
Thanks for this.
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I made quite a bit of cash out of this in the IPL. Often I’d employ this strategy –
1. Wait until the toss, just prior to the match, because the odds will then fluctuate and often got me a qualifying profit.
2. Try to get on the team batting first. This then allowed me to guarantee a profit on multiple occasions, because if the opening side scored 175 plus (170 is par in IPL) then you would hope for the opposing side to chase it down. So when the odds of the bowling side went to 2/1 for example, I’d stick a fiver on them to guarantee a tenner if they won or free bet worth 25 … extract 20, minus the other fiver ..still 15 up.+0Get regular offer updates, tip and tricks, big offer alerts and more straight to your inbox.
Thanks for that, useful extra ideas although not sure time difference will work out too much with that
For those dutching it might need to be early doors to get the best as I see a few prices now been adjusted. Got the first 4 done with £1 on the last as biggest ql. Not all odds released on 5th game yet
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In the T&Cs it says max of one £20 free bet per customer, is that one per match or one during the whole tournament do you guys know?
+0Good spot Harris. I imagine 1 per match, but that’s not how it’s worded. One to keep an eye on
+0I think this is one free for the tournament,l cos all powers offers now are mostly garbage, the football promos a prime example.. Would love to be wrong cos Powers back to its best would be great but I think they’ve changed in the last year, starting to contract after the betfair merger I feel
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Just checked, 1 per match per day, so you can try for the free bets as much as you want.
+0First one come in the 2nd match
Watched the finish live so hedged myself into guaranteed profit within the last couple oversThanks for checking it’s each game Harris
+0I managed to get £5 at 2.58 on the Strikers in the 2nd over, figuring they’d definitely make 175 but stood a good chance of losing for the free bet, then managed to fully underlay at 1.17 when their RR was well ahead of the RRR, to lock in £7 if they won. I’ll take the free bet instead.
+0Having said that, has anyone received a free bet for this yet?
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