paddy power mb 2nd to fav
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Surely the 3.30 Salis got to be worth the small qualifying loss … loos a 2 horse race… fav odds on! Fill your boots guys… thank me later 🙂
+0August 2, 2016 at 1:09 pm
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2.25/2.5 give a QL of £2.77 if you use Smarkets. That’s not small – it’s too high for these offers IMO, plus the fact that the second favourite has a strong chance of actually winning the race (according to the odds!) and scuppering you free bet plans.
Galactic Prince in the 14:30 (5.0/5.5) seems a better shout for the same QL (which is still too high) as it seems more likely to come 2nd to SP Fav (based on the odds)
Having said all that – chasing 2nd to SP Fav offers on crappy midweek meetings is a straight road to Gubsville (unless you are frequently betting £25 on midweek donkeys)
Good Luck 😀
+0Personally I think this is totally worth it.
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I disagree with you Tony.
Bet365 are paying out 1.79 on the straight forecast. Risking £2.77 to land £20 value – QL is effectively something like 5/1 so you are manufacturing great odds (triple odds) for yourself there for effectively a straight forecast.
How I would play this is Back £25@2.25 and underlay £14.62@2.5.
Horse wins then you are up £9.32. If the horse is 2nd to SP you are up £9.32. Any other result down £10.68.
Just wait closer to the off for tighter odds and to make sure no more non runners.
In general yes steer clear, but short odds on favourite, small field and a bunch of donkeys are the ideal candidate races to land one of these.
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Are you kidding Tony! The odds on fav winning and other horse second probably work out 50/50 !! SAssume the forecast is the same
Sometimes need to get your head out of the QL and think about the actual chance of it happening FACTUALLY
+0Overlaid so QL 60p and +£25 freebet!
Thanks supert!
+0Great advice there Tony !! not
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Well done one and all 😉
Did the odds get closer near the off then?
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jealously tony isnt it
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Anyone know how long they take to credit the FB?
Wanted to punt it and the horse i wanted to back ended up winning.. 🙁
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Used to be fairly fast – within 15 mins iirc
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Win odds near off were 2.5/2.62…. effective place odds were 1.375/1.13 Tony so being serious! However my free bet not credited yet?? Anyone else got theirs??
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