The 11th Man
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With Sky bet offering 11 places at the USPGA Championship this weekend there the ‘slim’ opportunity to scalp and extra place with laying off at Betfair Each Way – 10 Places
Post any selections which are free shots at the 11th spot!
Each player has a 0.64% chance of finishing 11th, though realistically it will likely come from players prices 100/1 or less
+0August 5, 2020 at 4:37 pm
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Gonna predict
-12 for the winner
-6 for the 10 places
-5 for the 11th man!+0
My selections looking ok at the moment!!
Max Homa letting the team down, he needs to get his act together to make the cut!
I’ll go:
-14 for the winner.
-8 for top 10
-7 11th+0
Yeah looking good there Tony- To have plenty of contenders for 11th come day 4- I posted a breakdown of your magnificent 7’s current scores.
Will have a sportsmans/Golf Guru predictor bet with you on the final scores etc predictions…Forcasting conditions and pin placements are going to get tougher- hence ive gone a bit low on my forecasts…
Homa prob needs a -1 or better 2nd round to stay in the mix
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Im Jason Daydreaming atm about JD lifting the jug for +£2000- will take a top 10 though- with at least 1 other of mine sneaking in the top 10- or winning if JD dosnt
All my value ‘bets’ are unlaid- so im not gunning for any extra place scalps/11th man- But they would be nice for my thread ROI if they come in as bonuses+0
Day 2 (hopefully Jason Day 2- as Ive backed him decent at 6-1 for 2nd round lead!) well under way- with most of our/fancied runners out a fair bit later
Early moves of interest…
Fleetwood back in the red after his topsy turvey 1st round- -1
Adam Scott (who ive added to my each way bag) into- -3
Big -literaly- Danger man Byron Dechambre into- -3 (worried about him- he could tear this tourney up with his power game)No one else I can see who any of us have got out there atm…
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Bryson the Bogeyman- does just that bogeying the 3rd-
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Forgot to mention- New leader HT Li has stormed out the traps with-3 through 8. To take the lead at -6 (not a player on my radar)
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Chinaman HT Li flying -8
Fleetwood back on the dip- back to where he was yesterday before slipping- -3+0
Fleetwood tearing it up through 9.. -4 total and for the round so far
Backed into 17.0 (6th place in the betting) for the Jug+0
Prob off with my +3 cut prediction- +1 looking more likely
Billy Horshel +1 (one of Tonys) needs to hold it together- through 11 maybe on the cut off atmFleetwood on a mission (course record attempt!) -5 through 10! Goes JT 2 with Day/Todd at -5
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B Horshel turning it around for Tony- 2 shots recovered into -1. 4 to play. SKY TV estimated cut as low as evens- should be on course to still be here for Sunday
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HT LI sets the standard for 2nd round lead- In the CH with -8….will take some beating
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Gotta be a value bet on HT LI – Top 10 finish 1.89 on the exchange. Id fancy +1 for 2 rounds will get him in there. Ice cool player…doubt he will fall apart…Could be value on the outright win also at 19.5
Will stick with the 1.89 nap for a top 10 spot though+0
My top 2 tips/hopes doin the buis atm- Jason Day overnight leader yet to start round two and Tommy Fleetwood…tearing it up at -6 for his round to go clear 2nd…Currently those 2 (45/1 and 50/1 at start) now clear 3rd and 4th favs to win it…early days though
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Looks like Horshel makes the weekend, handy E couple of good rounds and could be around that 11th Spot area
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