10Bet Joshua by KO

I’m guessing I’m missing something here, 10Bet has Joshua to win by KO boosted to 4

Smarkets has Method of Victory Joshua by KO, TKO or DQ laying at 1.5, I’m guessing this can’t be the correct market but I can’t see why?

NM I see the error of my ways – it’s laying at 3.9 on Betfair “Joshua by KO”

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aNtis0ciaL
15

March 30, 2018 at 5:26 pm

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MonkeyTennis 3 March 30, 2018 at 6:05 pm

You need the exact method of victory. Betfair laying AJ by KO at 3.85.

Edit – just seen your edit.

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Chris 24 March 30, 2018 at 6:06 pm

Great value bet that is, 3/1 for a knock out. Every single one of his fights, hes won by KO.

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Chris 24 March 30, 2018 at 6:08 pm

Also they have money back as a free bet up to £20 if the fight goes 12 rounds and your bet (winner, round betting) loses.

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Cliff 24 March 30, 2018 at 6:20 pm

New about the offer but not the boost. Gonna go have a punt now, cheers anti

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MbPunter 24 March 30, 2018 at 6:22 pm

TKO doesn’t count though. So not quite as good as it looks on the face of it. Interest bet for me though.

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harris 8 March 30, 2018 at 8:07 pm

I know next to nothing about boxing – guessing I’m missing something but how does this sound (try to stick with the theory)…?

Back Joshua KO 3/1, Fight to go the distance 4/1 20 max bet on both £20 (10bet boosts) – so say to make it simple £40 stake returns £80 minimum from these two bets (effective odds of 2.0)

Back Parker to win 5/1 on exchange – £14 stake returns £80.

If Joshua wins by KO… £80 – £40 – £14 = £26 profit
If Parker wins early… £80 – £40 – £14 = £26 profit
If fight goes the distance and Parker wins… £80 + £80 – £40 – £14 = £106 profit
If fight goes the distance and Joshua wins… £80 – £40 – £14 = £26 profit
If fight goes the distance and draw… £80 – 40 – £14 = £26 profit

Now… If you stick £26 on Joshua by TKO at 2.4 = £36.40

Joshua KO = £0
Joshua TKO = £10.40
Parker early = £0
Distance and Parker = £80
Distance and Joshua = £0
Distance and draw = 0

So you have everything covered for risk free shot at money on a couple of the outcomes… apart from Joshua by disqualification – but this is 120/1 on exchange so you could just back with 10p or something.

(Or on the other hand you could probably just back Joshua to win by KO at 3/1 and win £60 ;) )

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Johnbo 17 March 30, 2018 at 8:09 pm

Yeah KO is not going to be likely in this fight as Parker is tough as hell and it will more than likely be a stoppage (TKO) rather than KO.

I rarely bet these days but can get 9/1 for Parker by KO/TKO, seems a crazy price as Joshua looks very vulnerable when he gasses and Parker is more than capable of taking advantage if he can survive the first few rounds.

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Johnbo 17 March 30, 2018 at 8:16 pm

Harris, I think based on that the Joshua KO would return -£20 as the KO win is 3/1 not 4/1…I think anyway haha

…Edit, no think you’re right, ignore me ;)

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harris 8 March 30, 2018 at 8:19 pm

No the £80 includes the stake in the calculation so have that bit covered – to be perfectly honest i started looking at it and got so far doing the calculations that i thought i had to post it, probably not worth the hassle haha

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Johnbo 17 March 30, 2018 at 8:22 pm

Thanks for sharing I’m going to follow it, seems a solid chance some risk free money with a few mins work ;)

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harris 8 March 30, 2018 at 8:27 pm

No probs mate, hope we haven’t missed something

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westmatch 30 March 30, 2018 at 8:32 pm

Parker isnt to be underestimated in this: he’s an extremely good, tough undefeated fighter who is much better than AJ has faced. (Vlad was at the end of his career)

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