1:50 Warwick

Offers:

Bet365 4/1 Winner (£50 Risk free bet)
Betfair 3/1 Winner (£25 free bet)
Ladbrokes 2nd (£25 free bet)
Sky 2nd (£25 free bet)
William Hill – MOBILE ONLY!!! (£25 free bet)
Racebets 2nd (£25 free bet)
Paddy Power 2nd to SP (£25 free bet)
Betfred 2nd to SP (£25 free bet)
Totesport 2nd to SP (£25 free bet)

As you can see…if the favourite wins we have 7 different offers to put on horses to come 2nd and 4 offers of 2nd regardless of the position of the favourite. (which might make sense to back the favourite at one of the bookies even if you think it will win as that way if it comes 1st you can have the 3 other offers as the SP will have won, and well if it comes 2nd you have a refund)
There is definitely big big profit to be made off this race if you select carefully!

Any one have any opinions on the best way of playing this one with all the promotions available? I might discount the outsider Bally Beaufort and do all the others horses which should guarantee profit

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RyanB
11

January 15, 2016 at 10:39 pm

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MatchBetter55 1 January 15, 2016 at 11:17 pm

Silsol has good form so he can’t be discounted but Black Hercules loves heavy ground and looked good on his debut chase. I’d suggest backing Black Hercules with one of WH or Lads as a saver. The rest I’d split between Silsol and Definitely red. Personally I think I might just back Silsol with all of them and the saver on Black Hercules. The only 2 horses in the race that love heavy ground.

Do be aware that if one of them drops out, it’s unlikely any of the offers will be on.

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RyanB 11 January 15, 2016 at 11:30 pm

Yes definitely worth waiting aslong as possible to put the bets on….Betfred & Totesport however, is 2nd to SP favourite all day…terms doesn’t appear to be limited to runners so I think that’ll still be on we shall see

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kjillman 1 January 16, 2016 at 1:10 am

Matchbetter not a 2 horse race!

Umm Emily gray acts very well on heavy ground. She is also likely to stay this trip , potentially improving over it. Jockey David Bass is in superb form and trainer Kim Bailey specialises in long distance chasers.

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MatchBetter55 1 January 16, 2016 at 8:10 am

Does she act on it? Won on it once against Gitane Du Berlais, who got trounced by Polly Peaches on heavy ground. Decent run behind Ma Filleule last time but I’m not a fan of that horse.

With these offers, I prefer to concentrate on one horse. Silsol is proven on the ground, has the best form and is a decent jumper.

I think I’d prefer Definitely Red over Emily Grey as well – the form in his 2nd at Haydock isn’t too bad – group 1 and listed winners behind since

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Tony 12 January 16, 2016 at 11:04 am

Cheers for the insight lads, always nice to hear from people that know a bit about it, which you 2 seem to 🙂

Can someone tell me when a non-runner would be declared by? Already got 2 bets on this race and looking to pound the rest on soon but want to be sure it has the necessary 5 runners for most of these offers to go ahead. TIA

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Shaun46 1 January 16, 2016 at 11:18 am

@Tony 2 bets on also so far fav with a 20p gain and the Bet365 offer with a £2.76 loss os down £2.56 so far, it’s looking like we will have to take heavier losses to cover those last 2 though, Not covering the donkey, you watch him come in 2nd now lol 🙂

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RyanB 11 January 16, 2016 at 11:20 am

Same Shaun, leaving out the Donkey….but yes it will definitely come 2nd now we’ve said that!

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78naD 2 January 16, 2016 at 11:46 am

Nice one Ryan, We’re sure to clean up here.
Commission could be set at 0% here too possibly because surely one horse will win the race from all these bets and render the commission null and void 🙂

Looking forward to cleaning up on these today.

Cheers to whoever posted about the toolbar add on the other day too to disguise your desktop as a mobile with the bookies. Makes things much easier.

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Shaun46 1 January 16, 2016 at 12:12 pm

Damn Emily Gray went up to 7.5 got so much going on today I backed at
7 never mind 🙂 i’ll make approx £10 on this race no matter what happens unless that donkey wins

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RyanB 11 January 16, 2016 at 12:14 pm

you mean if he comes 2nd surely?

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Shaun46 1 January 16, 2016 at 12:18 pm

yeah thats what I meant Ryan

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peck1996 0 January 16, 2016 at 12:55 pm

Can somebody please clarify what the bet365 channel 4 races are today please? Theres 2 links to click on the desktop client and both lead to different races, its very confusing for a newbie like me 🙁

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scottywire 0 January 16, 2016 at 12:57 pm

Does the will hill iPad app class as mobile?

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peck1996 0 January 16, 2016 at 1:01 pm

yes ipads count 🙂

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STC 4 January 16, 2016 at 1:58 pm

God I love these, especially when the favourite follows the script.

Thanks for the post this morning @RyanB, really detailed info and made my life a lot easier 🙂

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