188 Bet-No Lay Acca.
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Quiet Week so if you fancy a flutter here is an Acca with great return potential. It takes advantage of their one leg loses refund offer.
Maybe risk a bit of all that cash you made from the popular vote arbs!
* Lay odds for comparison*
12/11 15:00-MK Dons V Walsall-Home 1.82/1.9
12/11 15:00-Bradford V Rochdale-Home-1.95/2.12
12/11 15:00 Wycombe V Morecambe-Home-1.72/1.8
12/11 15:00 Grismby V Barnet-Home-1.95/2.06Back 11.90 Lay 14.94
All win +£545.17 (6.17%)
1 Lose+Bonus -£10.00 (25.90%)
2+Lose -£50.00 (67.33%)+0November 10, 2016 at 8:33 am
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I had thought about trying this one but your numbers aren’t really selling it.
Expected return if £2.56 on the above, but a pretty high variance to get there long run if you’re going to lose £50 more than 2/3 of the time+0I did those sums assuming 100% extraction too!
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Agree with betman.
Better looking at odds closer to 1.2 or whatever the min odds. You should be getting 10% to 20% return on investment on your accas.
But we all need something to keep us going during these quiet days.
+0Min odds on this offer 1.7, had a good week profit wise so I have placed it I will let you know how it does.
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1.7 is ridiculous odds for min. I don’t do the acca insurance on betstars any more since they switched to min odds 1.5, and dont do the acca insurance on boyle because their min odds are 1.33 (and their website is rubbish). I only can barely drag myself to do the betvictor acca insurance (min odds 1.25) because its only a tenner so its a quick punt and I hold on to the dream that one day they will significantly boost my winning because of their price promise.
I see it is only 4 legs but the increased odds take away any advantage one less leg makes.
There are better places to do acca’s than 188bet – betmclean, sportingbet, paddy in shop, betvictor and probably a ton more than I dont consider since I don’t have accounts any more.
Anyway good luck :) And thanks for posting. We need as many ideas as we can to keep this show going.
+0If you can get 4 ‘good bets’ pretty much bang on 1.7 then there’s probably some value
When I say ‘good bets’ though it really is a punting perspective though and things you genuinely think will win, and avoiding things odds on for a shite reason. These will probably have been very close exchange odds anyway+0Get regular offer updates, tip and tricks, big offer alerts and more straight to your inbox.
Okay, since we are sharing here is my punt of the week.
BetVictor NFL treble £10.
11/11 Ravens 1.222/1.28
13/11 Eagles 1.95/2.06
14/11 Patriots 1.286/1.35Acca wins +£20.64 (28%)
1 leg loses -£2.44 (48%) … assumed 75% extraction because of limatations on free bet
2+ legs lose -£10 (24%)Roughly same expected value as the 4-fold 188bet acca but only risking a tenner and will get something back (win or free bet) 76% of the time.
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I’ve found the 188bet acca quite good value actually in u can find much closer matches than Orlando mentions (?) and also I’ve been laying them off sequentially to ensure limited loss if it loses
Get that 1.7 is high but advantages are big too…it’s only 4 legs so great chance of hitting it and also it’s a 50 bonus with a one time rollover requirement. So if u place another acca u have extracted the full 50!
+0@fogblog I do 2 or 3 sequential lay accas a week with hill. Each is GP between £8 and £12 depending on the result.
@natchdem could you share your 188 accas with odds closer to 1.7?
+0Czech Republic v Norway 2.0 / 2.04
Austria v Rep of Ireland 2.01 / 2.06
Paraguay v Peru 1.81 / 1.86
MK Dons v Walsall 1.78 / 1.87
Those odds are tighter for you Orlando , but i won’t be doing the bet, those odds are not tighter enough for my likening – all those games are on at different times so you could sequential lay –
+0Can’t be done on international games
For those that aren’t aware please ignore matchedem, t&c says it is a freebet but they’re ass backwards and reclaim it when u withdraw. So unless u never withdraw (or they miss it) it’s not bonus funds+0
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