Commerciality

  • At the moment I do not take up every offer going, quite frankly it would not be possible for me to do so, hence I have to take a commercial view on what is worth while

    An effect profit per time spent if you will

    So I thought I would open a discussion into what offers people thought were more commercial than others

    I know it is not easy to measure and there are plenty or variables

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    I know what you mean. A lot of work though and nobody can compile a list of value for all offers – especially since they change so much.

    This all I am really doing at the moment while exploring BoG strategies and e/w arbing strategies. Maybe others that are regularly doing other offers can post what they think they are worth vs time spent.

    ** Bet 365 4/1+ offer ** : Worth about £5 for 20 mins work in my opinion. Work times are inflexible. Need to be available for 20 mins lead up to the off. £15 per hour.

    ** Acca Refund offers ** : Worth about £10 for picking 5 selections, and sequentially laying each at different times. Say 5 minutes for picking the acca and then 5 minutes per lay. So £10 for potentially 30 mins work. Also quite inflexible as in you have to lay the next leg of each acca at specific times i.e. after the previous leg has completed and before next leg starts. £20 per hour.

    ** Paddy Power Football Money Back losing at HT ** : Worth about £5-£10 for 5-10 mins work. All you have to do here is back and lay the outsider if the odds are tight enough. For further insurance you can lay the HT draw. Shouldn’t take more than 10 minutes in all. Very flexible as in can cover the back and lay practically any time during the week. £60 per hour.

    Any new offers, or once off offers take extra time to dissect the terms and conditions etc.

    Most of the time spent in this matched bettor’s career is spent reading forum’s researching stats, looking for new offers, new tricks, developing spreadsheets, calculators.

    But you have a very valid point, you need to know the value that you are getting and the time spent – I’ve always had this in my head for the money back 2nd, 3/1+ offers, double odds offers, money back if draw offers etc, bet 20 get 10 offers.

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    Marv 2

    Very detailed response FOG, you didnt have to lol

    I agree its hard to know exactly but you get a feel over time for what bets are worthwhile

    Multi accounting is important here too, especially if you are doing the work for 50% too, again how worthwhile is the offer compared to other offers available

    For me personally I do not like the in play offers which small returns, especially when tight odds are not always possible

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