Contender for worst ever offer

  • SportNation:

    Take Part;
    1. Opt in and bet pre-match on the Arsenal vs Man City game (01.03.18) as a single bet.
    2. If Aguero scores, Wilshere gets an assist and there are over 11.5 corners in the game get your winnings on your first bet boosted by 50%.
    3. Boosted winnings will be in the form of bonus funds. Bonus funds will be credited to your account Friday 02 March on or before 7pm.

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    betman 41

    it’s not great but people are staking real money on those crappy things. This is a ‘free shot’ for them, and is probably still positive EV if you can find a close match
    Although debatable with wilshere to assist….

    +0
    Football 3

    I highly doubt it’s positive EV.

    You need 2 more corners than the average per game.

    Wilshere only has 2 assists this season.

    Aguero might not even start now Jesus is back.

    It’s terrible.

    +0
    betman 41

    wilsheres hardly played the whole season and it’s going to be an attacking game. You’re looking at 2 even money shots and something I acknowledged unlikely.

    In a time of 0% commission and a range of markets then a goalkeeper scoring a header could be positive EV as your ql is zero, pence loss or even pence gain

    I actually laughed when I read the text for how ridiculous it was, but when there’s plenty of negative EV stuff out there we don’t need to see ‘worst offer ever’ every time something a bit naff crops up

    +0
    cosmos 6

    It’s a crap offer for matched bettors but it’s potential bonus money for the ordinary punter who would be having a bet on the game anyway. It’s easy to forget that the bookies don’t think up these offers for our benefit.

    +0
    Football 3

    Have you seen a worse offer then? I’d be interested to hear it.

    +0
    betman 41

    really???
    a number of casino or deposit offers that are negative EV.
    any number of boosts that are to below the exchange price
    the revised negative EV acca insurance or boost offers

    either you’ve got a lot to learn and earn or are just having a stubborn moment ;-)

    +0
    betman 41

    wilshere not in the squad so an assist does look pretty unlikely now

    on a more constructive note you can get a £10 in play bet from 10bet for 20p

    +0
    Football 3

    Haha yeah fair enough. I was excluding casino offers though.

    Most of the deposit offers must be +EV unless there’s over 10x wagering. Or unless it’s Royal Panda and they won’t give you your money.

    Anyway I’m putting £50 on a 2-2 draw with Sané to score first.

    +0
    betman 41

    looks like I’ll be going in play to use my hills boost today. Heads I screw up and make a loss, tails I end up with a huge arb on arsenal who’ll let me down

    +0
    jameslegg97 11

    Really had trouble finding matches the past few days for the boost, what with the horses being off and various things being cancelled. Just got lucky on a Barca arb fortunately.

    +0
    betman 41

    tails it is
    well a draw is what I’m aiming for but as good as relying on arsenal given current score

    that’s what I have to play with every day now James! Made £20 off Russian ice hockey yday.

    Ffs not even typed the post and arsenal conceded again!!

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